Elma Electronic Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| 312 Stock | 1,380 10.00 0.72% |
Elma Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Elma Electronic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Elma Electronic's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Using Elma Electronic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elma Electronic AG from the perspective of Elma Electronic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Elma Electronic AG on the next trading day is expected to be 1,380 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.00. Elma Electronic after-hype prediction price | EUR 1380.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Elma |
Elma Electronic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Elma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Elma Electronic Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Elma Electronic AG on the next trading day is expected to be 1,380 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.88, mean absolute percentage error of 56.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 205.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elma Electronic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Elma Electronic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Elma Electronic | Elma Electronic Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Elma Electronic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Elma Electronic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elma Electronic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,379 and 1,381, respectively. We have considered Elma Electronic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elma Electronic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elma Electronic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 87.2259 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.5476 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.881 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 205.0 |
Predictive Modules for Elma Electronic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elma Electronic AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Elma Electronic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Elma Electronic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Elma Electronic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Elma Electronic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Elma Electronic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Elma Electronic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Elma Electronic's historical news coverage. Elma Electronic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,379 and 1,381, respectively. We have considered Elma Electronic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Elma Electronic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Elma Electronic AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Elma Electronic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Elma Electronic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Elma Electronic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Elma Electronic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,380 | 1,380 | 0.00 |
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Elma Electronic Hype Timeline
Elma Electronic AG is presently traded for 1,380on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.17. Elma is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Elma Electronic is about 17.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,380. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 39.71. Elma Electronic AG had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elma Electronic to cross-verify your projections.Elma Electronic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Elma Electronic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Elma Electronic's future price movements. Getting to know how Elma Electronic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Elma Electronic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 20V | National Beverage Corp | (27.59) | 1 per month | 1.53 | (0.01) | 2.86 | (2.80) | 8.96 | |
| 8KH | TOREX SEMICONDUCTOR LTD | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.02 | (3.53) | 12.96 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.57 | (5.88) | 18.33 | |
| NY7 | Molson Coors Beverage | 0.08 | 6 per month | 1.31 | 0.12 | 3.03 | (3.02) | 9.46 | |
| 8J4 | WILDPACK BEVERAGE INC | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| T6W | Thai Beverage Public | (0.03) | 7 per month | 2.60 | 0.03 | 6.67 | (6.25) | 16.04 | |
| 1HH | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 0.50 | 6 per month | 4.14 | 0.06 | 8.80 | (7.02) | 24.61 | |
| B2W | BORR DRILLING NEW | 0.12 | 6 per month | 3.21 | 0.19 | 6.62 | (6.31) | 21.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Elma Electronic
For every potential investor in Elma, whether a beginner or expert, Elma Electronic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elma Electronic's price trends.Elma Electronic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elma Electronic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elma Electronic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elma Electronic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Elma Electronic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elma Electronic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elma Electronic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elma Electronic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elma Electronic AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1380.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1380.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (10.00) |
Elma Electronic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elma Electronic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elma Electronic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3604 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3254 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5911 | |||
| Variance | 0.3494 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.908 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1059 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Elma Electronic
The number of cover stories for Elma Electronic depends on current market conditions and Elma Electronic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Elma Electronic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Elma Electronic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Elma Electronic Short Properties
Elma Electronic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Elma Electronic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Elma Electronic AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Elma Electronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elma Electronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 228.5 K | |
| Shares Float | 169.1 K |
Other Information on Investing in Elma Stock
Elma Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elma with respect to the benefits of owning Elma Electronic security.