Woori Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

316140 Stock   16,850  90.00  0.54%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woori Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16,850 with a mean absolute deviation of 212.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,741. Woori Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Woori Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Woori Financial Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Woori Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Woori Financial is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Woori Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Woori Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16,850 with a mean absolute deviation of 212.35, mean absolute percentage error of 80,490, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,741.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Woori Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Woori Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Woori Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Woori FinancialWoori Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Woori Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Woori Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Woori Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,848 and 16,852, respectively. We have considered Woori Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16,850
16,848
Downside
16,850
Expected Value
16,852
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Woori Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Woori Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.5685
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -12.0433
MADMean absolute deviation212.3503
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0133
SAESum of the absolute errors12741.02
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Woori Financial Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Woori Financial. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Woori Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woori Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,84816,85016,852
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,64713,64818,535
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15,65416,32216,989
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Woori Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Woori Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Woori Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Woori Financial Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Woori Financial

For every potential investor in Woori, whether a beginner or expert, Woori Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Woori Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Woori. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Woori Financial's price trends.

Woori Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Woori Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Woori Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Woori Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Woori Financial Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Woori Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Woori Financial's current price.

Woori Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Woori Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Woori Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Woori Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Woori Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Woori Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Woori Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Woori Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting woori stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Woori Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Woori Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Woori Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Woori Stock

  0.72086790 Hana FinancialPairCorr
  0.79024110 Industrial BankPairCorr

Moving against Woori Stock

  0.34005490 POSCO HoldingsPairCorr
  0.32000270 Kia CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Woori Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Woori Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Woori Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Woori Financial Group to buy it.
The correlation of Woori Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Woori Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Woori Financial Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Woori Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Woori Stock

When determining whether Woori Financial Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Woori Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Woori Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Woori Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woori Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Woori Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Woori Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Woori Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.