Xin Chio Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| 3171 Stock | TWD 48.00 0.20 0.41% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xin Chio Global on the next trading day is expected to be 46.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.61. Xin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Xin Chio's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Xin Chio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xin Chio Global from the perspective of Xin Chio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xin Chio Global on the next trading day is expected to be 46.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.61. Xin Chio after-hype prediction price | TWD 48.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xin |
Xin Chio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xin Chio Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Xin Chio Global on the next trading day is expected to be 46.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41, mean absolute percentage error of 3.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xin Chio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xin Chio Stock Forecast Pattern
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Xin Chio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xin Chio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xin Chio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.85 and 48.07, respectively. We have considered Xin Chio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xin Chio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xin Chio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1749 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4131 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0291 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 87.6146 |
Predictive Modules for Xin Chio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xin Chio Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xin Chio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xin Chio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xin Chio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xin Chio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xin Chio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xin Chio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xin Chio's historical news coverage. Xin Chio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.39 and 49.61, respectively. We have considered Xin Chio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xin Chio is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xin Chio Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xin Chio Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xin Chio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xin Chio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xin Chio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
48.00 | 48.00 | 0.00 |
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Xin Chio Hype Timeline
Xin Chio Global is presently traded for 48.00on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Xin is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xin Chio is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.00. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Xin Chio Global last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2022. The entity had 1000:500 split on the 26th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xin Chio to cross-verify your projections.Xin Chio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xin Chio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xin Chio's future price movements. Getting to know how Xin Chio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xin Chio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1323 | Yonyu Plastics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.26 | (0.51) | 3.08 | |
| 4930 | Star Comgistic Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.10 | (1.32) | 4.33 | |
| 4442 | JB International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.15 | (0.01) | 7.14 | (4.41) | 19.79 | |
| 2949 | HHGalaxy Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.45 | (3.11) | 7.11 | |
| 6961 | Uni Travel Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.39 | (2.13) | 13.71 | |
| 4581 | World Known MFG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.98 | (1.66) | 6.00 | |
| 4426 | Li Cheng Enterprise | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.70 | (0.90) | 14.19 | |
| 2947 | Zhen Yu Hardware | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.32 | (2.29) | 8.30 | |
| 1338 | Hiroca Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.50 | (1.46) | 7.72 | |
| 3607 | Coxon Precise Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.03 | 3.68 | (3.10) | 15.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xin Chio
For every potential investor in Xin, whether a beginner or expert, Xin Chio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xin Chio's price trends.Xin Chio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xin Chio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xin Chio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xin Chio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xin Chio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xin Chio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xin Chio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xin Chio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xin Chio Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 656.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) |
Xin Chio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xin Chio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xin Chio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9551 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.51 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xin Chio
The number of cover stories for Xin Chio depends on current market conditions and Xin Chio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xin Chio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xin Chio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Xin Stock Analysis
When running Xin Chio's price analysis, check to measure Xin Chio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xin Chio is operating at the current time. Most of Xin Chio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xin Chio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xin Chio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xin Chio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.