Gongin Precision Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

3178 Stock  TWD 59.40  0.60  1.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gongin Precision Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 57.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 243.29. Gongin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Gongin Precision's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gongin Precision's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gongin Precision and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gongin Precision's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gongin Precision Industrial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gongin Precision hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gongin Precision Industrial from the perspective of Gongin Precision response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gongin Precision Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 57.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 243.29.

Gongin Precision after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 59.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gongin Precision to cross-verify your projections.

Gongin Precision Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gongin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gongin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gongin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Gongin Precision price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Gongin Precision Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gongin Precision Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 57.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.99, mean absolute percentage error of 20.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 243.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gongin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gongin Precision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gongin Precision Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gongin PrecisionGongin Precision Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gongin Precision Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gongin Precision's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gongin Precision's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.00 and 60.98, respectively. We have considered Gongin Precision's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.40
57.99
Expected Value
60.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gongin Precision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gongin Precision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.1339
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.9884
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0755
SAESum of the absolute errors243.2912
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Gongin Precision Industrial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Gongin Precision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gongin Precision Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4159.4062.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.0148.0065.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gongin Precision

For every potential investor in Gongin, whether a beginner or expert, Gongin Precision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gongin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gongin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gongin Precision's price trends.

Gongin Precision Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gongin Precision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gongin Precision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gongin Precision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gongin Precision Ind Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gongin Precision's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gongin Precision's current price.

Gongin Precision Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gongin Precision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gongin Precision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gongin Precision stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gongin Precision Industrial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gongin Precision Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gongin Precision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gongin Precision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gongin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Gongin Precision

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gongin Precision position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gongin Precision will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Gongin Stock

  0.598415 Brighton Best InternPairCorr
  0.348349 QST InternationalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gongin Precision could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gongin Precision when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gongin Precision - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gongin Precision Industrial to buy it.
The correlation of Gongin Precision is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gongin Precision moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gongin Precision Ind moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gongin Precision can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Gongin Stock Analysis

When running Gongin Precision's price analysis, check to measure Gongin Precision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gongin Precision is operating at the current time. Most of Gongin Precision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gongin Precision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gongin Precision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gongin Precision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.