Golden Long Stock Forward View
| 3188 Stock | TWD 29.30 0.10 0.34% |
Golden Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Golden Long's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Golden Long, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Golden Long hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Long Teng from the perspective of Golden Long response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Long Teng on the next trading day is expected to be 29.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.55. Golden Long after-hype prediction price | TWD 29.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Golden |
Golden Long Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Long Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Long Teng on the next trading day is expected to be 29.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Long's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Long Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Golden Long | Golden Long Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Golden Long Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Long's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Long's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.75 and 30.92, respectively. We have considered Golden Long's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Long stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Long stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4548 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3798 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.5505 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Long
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Long Teng. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Golden Long After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Long at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Long or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Golden Long, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Long Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Long's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Long's historical news coverage. Golden Long's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.71 and 30.89, respectively. We have considered Golden Long's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Long is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Long Teng is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Long Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Long is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Long backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Long, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.30 | 29.30 | 0.00 |
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Golden Long Hype Timeline
Golden Long Teng is presently traded for 29.30on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Golden is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Golden Long is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.30. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Golden Long Teng last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2022. The entity had 1050:1000 split on the 29th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Long to cross-verify your projections.Golden Long Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Long's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Long's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Long's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Long may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2701 | Wanhwa Enterprise Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.90 | (0.90) | 2.25 | |
| 2514 | Long Bon International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | 0.02 | 1.68 | (1.02) | 7.13 | |
| 4907 | Fu Yu Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.12 | (3.37) | 12.28 | |
| 5206 | Kunyue Development Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.52 | (1.75) | 4.48 | |
| 3266 | Sunty Development Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | (0.06) | 1.12 | (1.08) | 2.91 | |
| 6212 | LI Ming Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.41 | (2.17) | 6.64 | |
| 2538 | Kee Tai Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.04) | 2.27 | (1.81) | 6.35 | |
| 9946 | San Far Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.56 | (2.04) | 6.78 | |
| 5533 | Founding Construction Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.02 | (1.01) | 3.44 | |
| 2537 | We Win Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.49 | (2.93) | 13.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Golden Long
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Long's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Long's price trends.Golden Long Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Long stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Long could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Long by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Long Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Long stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Long shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Long stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Long Teng entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Golden Long Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Long's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Long's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Golden Long
The number of cover stories for Golden Long depends on current market conditions and Golden Long's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Long is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Long's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Golden Stock Analysis
When running Golden Long's price analysis, check to measure Golden Long's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Long is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Long's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Long's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Long's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Long to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.