Top High Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3284 Stock  TWD 20.70  0.35  1.72%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top High Image on the next trading day is expected to be 20.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.18. Top Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Top High's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Top High's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Top High and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Top High's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Top High Image, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Top High hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Top High Image from the perspective of Top High response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top High Image on the next trading day is expected to be 20.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.18.

Top High after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 20.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top High to cross-verify your projections.

Top High Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Top price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Top using various technical indicators. When you analyze Top charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Top High is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Top High Image value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Top High Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top High Image on the next trading day is expected to be 20.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top High's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Top High Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Top HighTop High Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Top High Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Top High's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top High's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.99 and 22.05, respectively. We have considered Top High's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.70
20.02
Expected Value
22.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top High stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top High stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9369
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3964
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors24.1798
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Top High Image. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Top High. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Top High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top High Image. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3220.3522.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1021.1223.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Top High

For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top High's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top High's price trends.

Top High Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top High stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top High could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top High by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Top High Image Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Top High's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Top High's current price.

Top High Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top High stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top High shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top High stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top High Image entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Top High Risk Indicators

The analysis of Top High's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Top High's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting top stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Top Stock Analysis

When running Top High's price analysis, check to measure Top High's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top High is operating at the current time. Most of Top High's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top High's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top High's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top High to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.