Silicon Touch Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 3288 Stock | TWD 16.90 0.05 0.29% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silicon Touch Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39. Silicon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Silicon Touch's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Silicon Touch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silicon Touch Technology from the perspective of Silicon Touch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silicon Touch Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39. Silicon Touch after-hype prediction price | TWD 16.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Silicon |
Silicon Touch Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Silicon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silicon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silicon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Silicon Touch Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silicon Touch Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 19.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silicon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silicon Touch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Silicon Touch Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silicon Touch | Silicon Touch Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Silicon Touch Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Silicon Touch's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silicon Touch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.65 and 22.59, respectively. We have considered Silicon Touch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silicon Touch stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silicon Touch stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7004 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.613 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0352 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.3945 |
Predictive Modules for Silicon Touch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silicon Touch Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Silicon Touch
For every potential investor in Silicon, whether a beginner or expert, Silicon Touch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silicon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silicon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silicon Touch's price trends.Silicon Touch Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silicon Touch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silicon Touch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silicon Touch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silicon Touch Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silicon Touch's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silicon Touch's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Silicon Touch Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silicon Touch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silicon Touch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silicon Touch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silicon Touch Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Silicon Touch Risk Indicators
The analysis of Silicon Touch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silicon Touch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silicon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Variance | 11.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Silicon Touch
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Silicon Touch position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Silicon Touch will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Silicon Touch could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Silicon Touch when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Silicon Touch - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Silicon Touch Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Silicon Touch is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Silicon Touch moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Silicon Touch Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Silicon Touch can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Silicon Stock Analysis
When running Silicon Touch's price analysis, check to measure Silicon Touch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Silicon Touch is operating at the current time. Most of Silicon Touch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Silicon Touch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Silicon Touch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Silicon Touch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.