PPHE HOTEL Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 32P Stock | EUR 20.20 0.00 0.00% |
PPHE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PPHE HOTEL stock prices and determine the direction of PPHE HOTEL GROUP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PPHE HOTEL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of PPHE HOTEL's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PPHE HOTEL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PPHE HOTEL GROUP from the perspective of PPHE HOTEL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PPHE HOTEL GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 20.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.37. PPHE HOTEL after-hype prediction price | EUR 20.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PPHE |
PPHE HOTEL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PPHE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PPHE using various technical indicators. When you analyze PPHE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PPHE HOTEL Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PPHE HOTEL GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 20.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PPHE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PPHE HOTEL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PPHE HOTEL Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PPHE HOTEL | PPHE HOTEL Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PPHE HOTEL Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PPHE HOTEL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PPHE HOTEL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.30 and 22.02, respectively. We have considered PPHE HOTEL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PPHE HOTEL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PPHE HOTEL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2234 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3011 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.3687 |
Predictive Modules for PPHE HOTEL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPHE HOTEL GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PPHE HOTEL After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PPHE HOTEL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PPHE HOTEL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PPHE HOTEL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PPHE HOTEL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PPHE HOTEL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PPHE HOTEL's historical news coverage. PPHE HOTEL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.34 and 22.06, respectively. We have considered PPHE HOTEL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PPHE HOTEL is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PPHE HOTEL GROUP is based on 3 months time horizon.
PPHE HOTEL Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PPHE HOTEL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PPHE HOTEL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PPHE HOTEL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.20 | 20.20 | 0.00 |
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PPHE HOTEL Hype Timeline
PPHE HOTEL GROUP is presently traded for 20.20on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. PPHE is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on PPHE HOTEL is about 481.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.23. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PPHE HOTEL to cross-verify your projections.PPHE HOTEL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PPHE HOTEL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PPHE HOTEL's future price movements. Getting to know how PPHE HOTEL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PPHE HOTEL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TM5 | T MOBILE INCDL 00001 | 1.76 | 1 per month | 1.40 | (0.01) | 3.59 | (2.49) | 7.33 | |
| FJZ | Zijin Mining Group | 0.06 | 7 per month | 3.39 | 0.12 | 5.77 | (5.35) | 21.12 | |
| 1ZG | Zegona Communications plc | 0.40 | 7 per month | 1.88 | 0.24 | 5.16 | (3.61) | 11.82 | |
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.15 | 7 per month | 3.69 | 0.09 | 6.70 | (6.23) | 23.75 | |
| SMA | SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings | 0.01 | 3 per month | 1.85 | (0.01) | 1.96 | (1.92) | 13.92 | |
| EV9 | Entravision Communications | (0.06) | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.04 | 5.97 | (4.20) | 15.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for PPHE HOTEL
For every potential investor in PPHE, whether a beginner or expert, PPHE HOTEL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PPHE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PPHE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PPHE HOTEL's price trends.PPHE HOTEL Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PPHE HOTEL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PPHE HOTEL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PPHE HOTEL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PPHE HOTEL Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PPHE HOTEL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PPHE HOTEL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PPHE HOTEL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PPHE HOTEL GROUP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PPHE HOTEL Risk Indicators
The analysis of PPHE HOTEL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PPHE HOTEL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pphe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PPHE HOTEL
The number of cover stories for PPHE HOTEL depends on current market conditions and PPHE HOTEL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PPHE HOTEL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PPHE HOTEL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PPHE HOTEL Short Properties
PPHE HOTEL's future price predictability will typically decrease when PPHE HOTEL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PPHE HOTEL GROUP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PPHE HOTEL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PPHE HOTEL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.8 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.032 |
Other Information on Investing in PPHE Stock
PPHE HOTEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether PPHE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PPHE with respect to the benefits of owning PPHE HOTEL security.