Sunflex Tech Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3390 Stock  TWD 24.85  0.35  1.43%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sunflex Tech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 25.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.79. Sunflex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Sunflex Tech's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunflex Tech's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sunflex Tech and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sunflex Tech's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunflex Tech Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sunflex Tech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunflex Tech Co from the perspective of Sunflex Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sunflex Tech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 25.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.79.

Sunflex Tech after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 24.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunflex Tech to cross-verify your projections.

Sunflex Tech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunflex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunflex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunflex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Sunflex Tech is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sunflex Tech Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sunflex Tech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sunflex Tech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 25.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunflex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunflex Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sunflex Tech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sunflex TechSunflex Tech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sunflex Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sunflex Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sunflex Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.84 and 28.50, respectively. We have considered Sunflex Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.85
25.67
Expected Value
28.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunflex Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunflex Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7332
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6686
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0311
SAESum of the absolute errors40.7858
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sunflex Tech Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sunflex Tech. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sunflex Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunflex Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0224.8527.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.3727.8330.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.8222.4725.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sunflex Tech

For every potential investor in Sunflex, whether a beginner or expert, Sunflex Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sunflex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sunflex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sunflex Tech's price trends.

Sunflex Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunflex Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunflex Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunflex Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sunflex Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sunflex Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sunflex Tech's current price.

Sunflex Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunflex Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunflex Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunflex Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunflex Tech Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sunflex Tech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sunflex Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunflex Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunflex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Sunflex Stock Analysis

When running Sunflex Tech's price analysis, check to measure Sunflex Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunflex Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Sunflex Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunflex Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunflex Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunflex Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.