WithTech Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

348350 Stock  KRW 8,480  10.00  0.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WithTech on the next trading day is expected to be 8,538 with a mean absolute deviation of 136.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,348. WithTech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WithTech stock prices and determine the direction of WithTech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WithTech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the value of rsi of WithTech's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WithTech's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WithTech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using WithTech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WithTech from the perspective of WithTech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WithTech on the next trading day is expected to be 8,538 with a mean absolute deviation of 136.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,348.

WithTech after-hype prediction price

    
  KRW 8480.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WithTech to cross-verify your projections.

WithTech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WithTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WithTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze WithTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for WithTech is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WithTech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WithTech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WithTech on the next trading day is expected to be 8,538 with a mean absolute deviation of 136.86, mean absolute percentage error of 30,559, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,348.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WithTech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WithTech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WithTech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WithTechWithTech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

WithTech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WithTech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WithTech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8,536 and 8,541, respectively. We have considered WithTech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8,480
8,538
Expected Value
8,541
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WithTech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WithTech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.4379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation136.8586
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors8348.3748
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WithTech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WithTech. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WithTech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WithTech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,4788,4808,482
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,3017,3049,328
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8,1868,4958,804
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WithTech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WithTech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WithTech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WithTech.

Other Forecasting Options for WithTech

For every potential investor in WithTech, whether a beginner or expert, WithTech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WithTech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WithTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WithTech's price trends.

WithTech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WithTech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WithTech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WithTech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WithTech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WithTech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WithTech's current price.

WithTech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WithTech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WithTech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WithTech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WithTech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WithTech Risk Indicators

The analysis of WithTech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WithTech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting withtech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with WithTech

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if WithTech position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in WithTech will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against WithTech Stock

  0.31005945 Nh Investment And Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to WithTech could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace WithTech when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back WithTech - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling WithTech to buy it.
The correlation of WithTech is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as WithTech moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if WithTech moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for WithTech can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in WithTech Stock

WithTech financial ratios help investors to determine whether WithTech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WithTech with respect to the benefits of owning WithTech security.