Usun Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Usun Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Usun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Usun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Usun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Usun Technology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Usun Technology Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Usun Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Usun Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 46.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.05.

Usun Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Usun Technology Price Prediction

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Usun Technology Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Usun Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Usun Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Usun Technology Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Usun Technology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Usun Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Usun Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 47.15 50.10 53.05 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 39.19 42.14 55.11 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 46.78 50.73 54.68 Details

Usun Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Usun Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Usun Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Usun Technology Hype Timeline

Usun Technology is presently traded for 50.10on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Usun is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Usun Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.10. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Usun Technology recorded a loss per share of 0.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2018. The firm had 700:1000 split on the 4th of October 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usun Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Usun Technology Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Usun Technology

For every potential investor in Usun, whether a beginner or expert, Usun Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Usun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Usun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Usun Technology's price trends.

Usun Technology Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Usun Technology Market Strength Events

Usun Technology Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Usun Technology

Other Macroaxis Stories

Usun Technology Short Properties

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