Young Optics Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 3504 Stock | TWD 63.00 0.90 1.45% |
This Double Exponential Smoothing projection for Young Optics is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The Double Exponential Smoothing model projects Young Optics at 62.99 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing model forecasts Young Optics at 62.99 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 105.21 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Young Optics' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Young Optics | Young Optics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Young Optics reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The model places downside around 59.06 and upside around 66.91 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Double Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for Young Optics stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3116 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0299 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.2137 |
Other Forecasting Options for Young Optics
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to Young Optics Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in Young Optics occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from Young Optics' historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.Young Optics Related Equities
These stocks within the Information Technology space are often compared to Young Optics by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Young Optics' results. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Young Optics Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Young Optics measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Young Optics have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Young Optics's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for Young Optics.
Young Optics Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Young Optics measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Young Optics' price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Young Optics' risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that Young Optics' return distribution is relatively symmetric.
| Mean Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Variance | 13.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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