Enel Chile Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

355 Stock  EUR 2.72  0.04  1.49%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Enel Chile SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.69. Enel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enel Chile's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Enel Chile is based on an artificially constructed time series of Enel Chile daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Enel Chile 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Enel Chile SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enel Chile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enel Chile Stock Forecast Pattern

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Enel Chile Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enel Chile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enel Chile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.52 and 4.72, respectively. We have considered Enel Chile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.72
2.62
Expected Value
4.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enel Chile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enel Chile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.8175
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0233
MADMean absolute deviation0.0507
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6875
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Enel Chile SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Enel Chile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Chile SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.622.724.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.522.624.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Enel Chile

For every potential investor in Enel, whether a beginner or expert, Enel Chile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enel Chile's price trends.

Enel Chile Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enel Chile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enel Chile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enel Chile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enel Chile SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enel Chile's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enel Chile's current price.

Enel Chile Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enel Chile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enel Chile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enel Chile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enel Chile SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enel Chile Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enel Chile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enel Chile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Enel Stock

When determining whether Enel Chile SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enel Chile's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enel Chile Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enel Chile Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enel Chile to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enel Chile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enel Chile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enel Chile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.