Shih Her Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3551 Stock  TWD 207.50  3.50  1.66%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shih Her Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 217.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 388.93. Shih Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Shih Her's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shih Her's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shih Her and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shih Her's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shih Her Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shih Her hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shih Her Technologies from the perspective of Shih Her response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shih Her Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 217.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 388.93.

Shih Her after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 207.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shih Her to cross-verify your projections.

Shih Her Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shih price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shih using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shih charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Shih Her is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shih Her Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shih Her Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shih Her Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 217.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.27, mean absolute percentage error of 62.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 388.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shih Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shih Her's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shih Her Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shih HerShih Her Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Shih Her Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shih Her's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shih Her's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 214.88 and 220.62, respectively. We have considered Shih Her's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
207.50
214.88
Downside
217.75
Expected Value
220.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shih Her stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shih Her stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.0852
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.2731
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0343
SAESum of the absolute errors388.9319
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shih Her Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shih Her. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shih Her

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shih Her Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.63207.50210.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
192.63195.50228.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shih Her

For every potential investor in Shih, whether a beginner or expert, Shih Her's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shih Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shih. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shih Her's price trends.

Shih Her Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shih Her stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shih Her could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shih Her by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shih Her Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shih Her's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shih Her's current price.

Shih Her Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shih Her stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shih Her shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shih Her stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shih Her Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shih Her Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shih Her's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shih Her's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shih stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Shih Her

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Shih Her position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Shih Her will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Shih Stock

  0.653529 eMemory TechnologyPairCorr
  0.612458 Elan MicroelectronicsPairCorr
  0.553023 Sinbon ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.474966 Parade TechnologiesPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Shih Her could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Shih Her when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Shih Her - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Shih Her Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of Shih Her is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Shih Her moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Shih Her Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Shih Her can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Shih Stock Analysis

When running Shih Her's price analysis, check to measure Shih Her's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shih Her is operating at the current time. Most of Shih Her's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shih Her's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shih Her's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shih Her to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.