Bison Electronics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

3659 Stock  TWD 27.95  0.40  1.41%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bison Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 27.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.56. Bison Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Bison Electronics' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bison Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bison Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bison Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bison Electronics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bison Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bison Electronics from the perspective of Bison Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bison Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 27.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.56.

Bison Electronics after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 27.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bison Electronics to cross-verify your projections.

Bison Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Bison Electronics simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Bison Electronics are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Bison Electronics prices get older.

Bison Electronics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bison Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 27.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bison Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bison Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bison Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bison ElectronicsBison Electronics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bison Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bison Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bison Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.65 and 30.26, respectively. We have considered Bison Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.95
27.96
Expected Value
30.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bison Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bison Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0649
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0571
MADMean absolute deviation0.3698
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors22.5553
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Bison Electronics forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Bison Electronics observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bison Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bison Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6527.9530.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8327.1229.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bison Electronics

For every potential investor in Bison, whether a beginner or expert, Bison Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bison Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bison. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bison Electronics' price trends.

Bison Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bison Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bison Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bison Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bison Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bison Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bison Electronics' current price.

Bison Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bison Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bison Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bison Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bison Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bison Electronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bison Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bison Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bison stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Bison Electronics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bison Electronics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bison Electronics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bison Stock

  0.695289 InnoDiskPairCorr

Moving against Bison Stock

  0.683005 Getac Technology CorpPairCorr
  0.658050 IBASE TechnologyPairCorr
  0.516579 AAEON TechnologyPairCorr
  0.43545 FocalTech SystemsPairCorr
  0.342382 Quanta ComputerPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bison Electronics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bison Electronics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bison Electronics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bison Electronics to buy it.
The correlation of Bison Electronics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bison Electronics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bison Electronics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bison Electronics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Bison Stock Analysis

When running Bison Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Bison Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bison Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Bison Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bison Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bison Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bison Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.