CNH Industrial Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 37C Stock | EUR 10.68 0.12 1.11% |
CNH Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CNH Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of CNH Industrial's share price is above 70 as of 25th of February 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling CNH, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Wall Street Target Price 21.24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
Using CNH Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNH Industrial NV from the perspective of CNH Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CNH Industrial NV on the next trading day is expected to be 10.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.90. CNH Industrial after-hype prediction price | EUR 10.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CNH |
CNH Industrial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNH using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CNH Industrial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CNH Industrial NV on the next trading day is expected to be 10.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNH Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CNH Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CNH Industrial | CNH Industrial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CNH Industrial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CNH Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNH Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.12 and 13.15, respectively. We have considered CNH Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNH Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNH Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3985 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.359 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0405 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.9005 |
Predictive Modules for CNH Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNH Industrial NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNH Industrial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNH Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNH Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNH Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNH Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNH Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNH Industrial's historical news coverage. CNH Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.15 and 13.19, respectively. We have considered CNH Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNH Industrial is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNH Industrial NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNH Industrial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNH Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNH Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNH Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.52 | 0.01 | 1.82 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.68 | 10.67 | 0.09 |
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CNH Industrial Hype Timeline
CNH Industrial NV is presently traded for 10.68on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.82. CNH is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on CNH Industrial is about 72.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.50. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of CNH Industrial was presently reported as 5.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.72. CNH Industrial NV last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2025. The entity had 957:250 split on the 30th of September 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNH Industrial to cross-verify your projections.CNH Industrial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNH Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNH Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNH Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNH Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GTR | Goodyear Tire Rubber | (0.04) | 6 per month | 2.73 | 0.05 | 4.83 | (2.86) | 20.90 | |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 2.00 | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.02 | 2.44 | (2.90) | 11.88 | |
| MUJ | Mitsubishi Materials | 0.20 | 5 per month | 2.26 | 0.24 | 5.51 | (4.17) | 23.20 | |
| FR70 | FAST RETAIL ADR | 0.40 | 3 per month | 1.37 | 0.12 | 3.21 | (2.04) | 11.95 | |
| EZM | Compagnie Plastic Omnium | 25.34 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 3.24 | (3.07) | 9.62 | |
| GTR | GOODYEAR T RUBBER | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.61 | 0.02 | 3.47 | (3.33) | 16.40 | |
| TYR | Toyo Tires Rubber | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 2.63 | (3.28) | 9.60 | |
| NWL | Newell Rubbermaid | 0.06 | 7 per month | 2.36 | 0.14 | 5.79 | (3.18) | 17.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for CNH Industrial
For every potential investor in CNH, whether a beginner or expert, CNH Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNH Industrial's price trends.CNH Industrial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNH Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNH Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNH Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CNH Industrial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNH Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNH Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNH Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNH Industrial NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.47 |
CNH Industrial Risk Indicators
The analysis of CNH Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNH Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CNH Industrial
The number of cover stories for CNH Industrial depends on current market conditions and CNH Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNH Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNH Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNH Industrial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.