KALRAY SA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| 3FS Stock | EUR 3.74 0.72 23.84% |
KALRAY Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KALRAY SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The value of RSI of KALRAY SA's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KALRAY SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KALRAY SA EO from the perspective of KALRAY SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of KALRAY SA EO on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.41. KALRAY SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KALRAY |
KALRAY SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KALRAY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KALRAY using various technical indicators. When you analyze KALRAY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KALRAY SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of KALRAY SA EO on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KALRAY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KALRAY SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KALRAY SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KALRAY SA | KALRAY SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KALRAY SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KALRAY SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KALRAY SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 17.54, respectively. We have considered KALRAY SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KALRAY SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KALRAY SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9683 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4329 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.4007 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.4068 |
Predictive Modules for KALRAY SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KALRAY SA EO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KALRAY SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KALRAY SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KALRAY SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KALRAY SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KALRAY SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KALRAY SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KALRAY SA's historical news coverage. KALRAY SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered KALRAY SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KALRAY SA is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KALRAY SA EO is based on 3 months time horizon.
KALRAY SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KALRAY SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KALRAY SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KALRAY SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.37 | 15.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.74 | 3.74 | 0.00 |
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KALRAY SA Hype Timeline
KALRAY SA EO is presently traded for 3.74on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KALRAY is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 3.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on KALRAY SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.74. About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 2.62. KALRAY SA EO had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KALRAY SA to cross-verify your projections.KALRAY SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KALRAY SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KALRAY SA's future price movements. Getting to know how KALRAY SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KALRAY SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 81M | COGNYTE SOFTWARE LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.04 | 4.03 | (4.49) | 16.02 | |
| UVD | Universal Display | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.70 | (4.15) | 24.44 | |
| 2NY2 | ePlay Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 8II | PLAYTIKA HOLDING DL 01 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | (0) | 3.64 | (4.15) | 17.17 | |
| PJJ1 | CHINA DISPLAY OTHHD 10 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | 0.04 | 5.88 | (5.71) | 16.46 | |
| 9JD | JD SPORTS FASH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.49 | (4.26) | 10.40 | |
| 4C6 | Hutchison Telecommunications Hong | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.04 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 19.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for KALRAY SA
For every potential investor in KALRAY, whether a beginner or expert, KALRAY SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KALRAY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KALRAY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KALRAY SA's price trends.KALRAY SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KALRAY SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KALRAY SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KALRAY SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KALRAY SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KALRAY SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KALRAY SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KALRAY SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KALRAY SA EO entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KALRAY SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of KALRAY SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KALRAY SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kalray stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 15.07 | |||
| Variance | 227.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 114.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 66.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KALRAY SA
The number of cover stories for KALRAY SA depends on current market conditions and KALRAY SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KALRAY SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KALRAY SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in KALRAY Stock
KALRAY SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether KALRAY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KALRAY with respect to the benefits of owning KALRAY SA security.