Kaufman Broad Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| 3GH Stock | EUR 30.20 0.65 2.11% |
Kaufman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kaufman Broad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Kaufman Broad's stock price is roughly 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 18th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kaufman, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.473 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
Using Kaufman Broad hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaufman Broad SA from the perspective of Kaufman Broad response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kaufman Broad SA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.10. Kaufman Broad after-hype prediction price | EUR 30.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kaufman |
Kaufman Broad Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kaufman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaufman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaufman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kaufman Broad Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kaufman Broad SA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaufman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaufman Broad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kaufman Broad Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kaufman Broad | Kaufman Broad Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kaufman Broad Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kaufman Broad's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaufman Broad's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.18 and 32.22, respectively. We have considered Kaufman Broad's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaufman Broad stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaufman Broad stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4149 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0551 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4424 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.1 |
Predictive Modules for Kaufman Broad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaufman Broad SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kaufman Broad After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kaufman Broad at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kaufman Broad or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kaufman Broad, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kaufman Broad Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kaufman Broad's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kaufman Broad's historical news coverage. Kaufman Broad's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.11 and 32.15, respectively. We have considered Kaufman Broad's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kaufman Broad is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kaufman Broad SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kaufman Broad Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kaufman Broad is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaufman Broad backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kaufman Broad, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.02 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.20 | 30.13 | 0.23 |
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Kaufman Broad Hype Timeline
Kaufman Broad SA is presently traded for 30.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Kaufman is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Kaufman Broad is about 2411.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.21. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Kaufman Broad was presently reported as 11.55. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaufman Broad to cross-verify your projections.Kaufman Broad Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kaufman Broad's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kaufman Broad's future price movements. Getting to know how Kaufman Broad's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kaufman Broad may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EV9 | Entravision Communications | 0.20 | 7 per month | 2.49 | (0) | 5.97 | (4.23) | 18.41 | |
| SQE | STRAYER EDUCATION | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.02 | 2.22 | (2.21) | 7.43 | |
| CHWD | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.40 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.16 | (1.66) | 12.20 | |
| 1ZG | Zegona Communications plc | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.90 | 0.22 | 5.16 | (3.68) | 11.82 | |
| 03F | IDP EDUCATION LTD | (0.02) | 4 per month | 3.35 | 0.06 | 5.63 | (4.97) | 19.81 | |
| B7O | Citic Telecom International | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.72 | (0.01) | 4.00 | (3.85) | 14.84 | |
| ISHA | INTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft | 0.04 | 1 per month | 2.59 | 0.07 | 6.35 | (5.22) | 17.73 | |
| SIT4 | Singapore Telecommunications Limited | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 2.82 | (2.96) | 7.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kaufman Broad
For every potential investor in Kaufman, whether a beginner or expert, Kaufman Broad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaufman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaufman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaufman Broad's price trends.Kaufman Broad Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaufman Broad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaufman Broad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaufman Broad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kaufman Broad Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaufman Broad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaufman Broad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaufman Broad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaufman Broad SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 30.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 30.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.65) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.12 |
Kaufman Broad Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kaufman Broad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaufman Broad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaufman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kaufman Broad
The number of cover stories for Kaufman Broad depends on current market conditions and Kaufman Broad's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kaufman Broad is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kaufman Broad's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kaufman Stock
Kaufman Broad financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kaufman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kaufman with respect to the benefits of owning Kaufman Broad security.