RECKITT BENCK Stock Forward View
| 3RB Stock | 73.02 2.71 3.85% |
RECKITT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of RECKITT BENCK's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RECKITT BENCK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RECKITT BENCK GRP from the perspective of RECKITT BENCK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RECKITT BENCK GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 74.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.27. RECKITT BENCK after-hype prediction price | EUR 68.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RECKITT |
RECKITT BENCK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RECKITT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RECKITT using various technical indicators. When you analyze RECKITT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RECKITT BENCK Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RECKITT BENCK GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 74.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RECKITT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RECKITT BENCK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RECKITT BENCK Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RECKITT BENCK | RECKITT BENCK Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
RECKITT BENCK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RECKITT BENCK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RECKITT BENCK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.41 and 75.30, respectively. We have considered RECKITT BENCK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RECKITT BENCK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RECKITT BENCK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5892 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6438 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0093 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.2738 |
Predictive Modules for RECKITT BENCK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RECKITT BENCK GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RECKITT BENCK's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RECKITT BENCK After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RECKITT BENCK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RECKITT BENCK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RECKITT BENCK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RECKITT BENCK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RECKITT BENCK's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RECKITT BENCK's historical news coverage. RECKITT BENCK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.12 and 80.32, respectively. We have considered RECKITT BENCK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RECKITT BENCK is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RECKITT BENCK GRP is based on 3 months time horizon.
RECKITT BENCK Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RECKITT BENCK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RECKITT BENCK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RECKITT BENCK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.02 | 68.05 | 6.81 |
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RECKITT BENCK Hype Timeline
RECKITT BENCK GRP is presently traded for 73.02on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.61. RECKITT is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -6.81%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on RECKITT BENCK is about 26.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.41. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. RECKITT BENCK GRP had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 24:25 split on the 2nd of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RECKITT BENCK to cross-verify your projections.RECKITT BENCK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RECKITT BENCK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RECKITT BENCK's future price movements. Getting to know how RECKITT BENCK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RECKITT BENCK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DNN | Strategic Investments AS | 0.00 | 7 per month | 2.45 | 0.07 | 5.92 | (4.12) | 33.60 | |
| 3I7 | Westshore Terminals Investment | 0.40 | 3 per month | 1.04 | 0.17 | 2.37 | (2.38) | 7.94 | |
| A9F | Alfa Financial Software | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.72 | (2.44) | 9.19 | |
| W9C | Constellation Software | (25.00) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.62 | (6.31) | 13.41 | |
| 1WT | WisdomTree Investments | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.19 | 4.54 | (2.84) | 14.05 | |
| KDIC | Kingdee International Software | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.26 | (4.73) | 19.66 | |
| TKE | Take Two Interactive Software | (3.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.18 | (3.71) | 13.09 | |
| 7VS | VITEC SOFTWARE GROUP | (0.88) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.93 | (4.52) | 9.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for RECKITT BENCK
For every potential investor in RECKITT, whether a beginner or expert, RECKITT BENCK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RECKITT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RECKITT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RECKITT BENCK's price trends.RECKITT BENCK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RECKITT BENCK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RECKITT BENCK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RECKITT BENCK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RECKITT BENCK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RECKITT BENCK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RECKITT BENCK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RECKITT BENCK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RECKITT BENCK GRP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 73.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 73.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.35 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.71 |
RECKITT BENCK Risk Indicators
The analysis of RECKITT BENCK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RECKITT BENCK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reckitt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6862 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4946 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9155 | |||
| Variance | 0.8381 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4916 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2446 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RECKITT BENCK
The number of cover stories for RECKITT BENCK depends on current market conditions and RECKITT BENCK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RECKITT BENCK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RECKITT BENCK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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RECKITT BENCK Short Properties
RECKITT BENCK's future price predictability will typically decrease when RECKITT BENCK's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RECKITT BENCK GRP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RECKITT BENCK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RECKITT BENCK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 686.6 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0244 |
Additional Tools for RECKITT Stock Analysis
When running RECKITT BENCK's price analysis, check to measure RECKITT BENCK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RECKITT BENCK is operating at the current time. Most of RECKITT BENCK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RECKITT BENCK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RECKITT BENCK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RECKITT BENCK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.