VIRGIN WINES Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3RW Stock  EUR 0.80  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VIRGIN WINES UK on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. VIRGIN Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VIRGIN WINES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for VIRGIN WINES is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of VIRGIN WINES UK value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

VIRGIN WINES Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VIRGIN WINES UK on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VIRGIN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VIRGIN WINES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VIRGIN WINES Stock Forecast Pattern

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VIRGIN WINES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VIRGIN WINES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VIRGIN WINES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.80 and 0.80, respectively. We have considered VIRGIN WINES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.80
0.80
Expected Value
0.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VIRGIN WINES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VIRGIN WINES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria49.8691
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of VIRGIN WINES UK. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict VIRGIN WINES. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for VIRGIN WINES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIRGIN WINES UK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.800.800.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.670.670.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VIRGIN WINES

For every potential investor in VIRGIN, whether a beginner or expert, VIRGIN WINES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VIRGIN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VIRGIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VIRGIN WINES's price trends.

VIRGIN WINES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VIRGIN WINES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VIRGIN WINES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VIRGIN WINES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VIRGIN WINES UK Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VIRGIN WINES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VIRGIN WINES's current price.

VIRGIN WINES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VIRGIN WINES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VIRGIN WINES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VIRGIN WINES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VIRGIN WINES UK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in VIRGIN Stock

VIRGIN WINES financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIRGIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIRGIN with respect to the benefits of owning VIRGIN WINES security.