Titan Machinery Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 3TY Stock | EUR 14.20 0.60 4.41% |
Titan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Titan Machinery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Titan Machinery's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Titan Machinery, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Wall Street Target Price 37.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using Titan Machinery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Titan Machinery from the perspective of Titan Machinery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.66. Titan Machinery after-hype prediction price | EUR 14.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Titan |
Titan Machinery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Titan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Titan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Titan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Titan Machinery Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Titan Machinery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Titan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Titan Machinery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Titan Machinery Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Titan Machinery | Titan Machinery Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Titan Machinery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Titan Machinery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Titan Machinery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.84 and 17.63, respectively. We have considered Titan Machinery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Titan Machinery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Titan Machinery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0704 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3332 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.6571 |
Predictive Modules for Titan Machinery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Titan Machinery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Titan Machinery After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Titan Machinery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Titan Machinery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Titan Machinery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Titan Machinery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Titan Machinery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Titan Machinery's historical news coverage. Titan Machinery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.85 and 17.59, respectively. We have considered Titan Machinery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Titan Machinery is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Titan Machinery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Titan Machinery Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Titan Machinery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Titan Machinery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Titan Machinery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 3.39 | 0.05 | 0.90 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.20 | 14.22 | 0.14 |
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Titan Machinery Hype Timeline
Titan Machinery is presently traded for 14.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.9. Titan is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Titan Machinery is about 33.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.10. The company reported the revenue of 2.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (36.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 346.6 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan Machinery to cross-verify your projections.Titan Machinery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Titan Machinery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Titan Machinery's future price movements. Getting to know how Titan Machinery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Titan Machinery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 17.39 | (15.38) | 128.84 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 100.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 105.23 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.00 | (3.57) | 113.32 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.00 | (4.76) | 114.52 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.56 | (5.56) | 106.37 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.88 | (5.88) | 106.37 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.00 | (5.00) | 111.26 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 116.81 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.56 | (2.56) | 103.23 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (2.56) | 103.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Titan Machinery
For every potential investor in Titan, whether a beginner or expert, Titan Machinery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Titan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Titan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Titan Machinery's price trends.Titan Machinery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Titan Machinery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Titan Machinery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Titan Machinery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Titan Machinery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Titan Machinery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Titan Machinery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Titan Machinery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Titan Machinery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.04 |
Titan Machinery Risk Indicators
The analysis of Titan Machinery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Titan Machinery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting titan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Variance | 10.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Titan Machinery
The number of cover stories for Titan Machinery depends on current market conditions and Titan Machinery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Titan Machinery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Titan Machinery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Titan Machinery to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Titan Stock please use our How to Invest in Titan Machinery guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.