EPS Bio Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 4183 Stock | TWD 16.00 0.20 1.23% |
EPS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of EPS Bio's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EPS Bio, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EPS Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EPS Bio Technology from the perspective of EPS Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EPS Bio Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.77. EPS Bio after-hype prediction price | TWD 16.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EPS |
EPS Bio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EPS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EPS using various technical indicators. When you analyze EPS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EPS Bio Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EPS Bio Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EPS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EPS Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EPS Bio Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EPS Bio | EPS Bio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EPS Bio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EPS Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EPS Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.58 and 17.42, respectively. We have considered EPS Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EPS Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EPS Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3058 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0538 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1629 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0096 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.775 |
Predictive Modules for EPS Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EPS Bio Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EPS Bio After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EPS Bio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EPS Bio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EPS Bio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EPS Bio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EPS Bio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EPS Bio's historical news coverage. EPS Bio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.58 and 17.42, respectively. We have considered EPS Bio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EPS Bio is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EPS Bio Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
EPS Bio Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EPS Bio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EPS Bio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EPS Bio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
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EPS Bio Hype Timeline
EPS Bio Technology is presently traded for 16.00on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EPS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on EPS Bio is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.00. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. EPS Bio Technology last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2019. The entity had a split on the 8th of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPS Bio to cross-verify your projections.EPS Bio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EPS Bio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EPS Bio's future price movements. Getting to know how EPS Bio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EPS Bio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 7607 | 7607 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.63 | (4.65) | 13.34 | |
| 6621 | UniPharma Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.15 | 4.88 | (2.02) | 9.14 | |
| 6797 | Taiwan Advanced Nanotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.35 | (0.01) | 4.65 | (7.10) | 22.74 | |
| 4115 | Sunder Biomedical Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | (0.01) | 3.95 | (3.57) | 8.68 | |
| 6661 | Welgene Biotech CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.33 | (2.05) | 7.33 | |
| 1781 | Health Life Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.91 | (1.33) | 10.60 | |
| 7595 | Pharmigene | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.12 | (3.82) | 7.95 | |
| 6734 | iXensor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.13 | (4.76) | 15.82 | |
| 6758 | A SPINE Asia Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.62 | (3.97) | 8.78 | |
| 4170 | 4170 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.44 | (3.81) | 19.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for EPS Bio
For every potential investor in EPS, whether a beginner or expert, EPS Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EPS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EPS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EPS Bio's price trends.EPS Bio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EPS Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EPS Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EPS Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EPS Bio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EPS Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EPS Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EPS Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EPS Bio Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EPS Bio Risk Indicators
The analysis of EPS Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EPS Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eps stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EPS Bio
The number of cover stories for EPS Bio depends on current market conditions and EPS Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EPS Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EPS Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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EPS Bio Short Properties
EPS Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when EPS Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EPS Bio Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EPS Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EPS Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.70 | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 5.86k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 9.77k | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 4.09% |
Additional Tools for EPS Stock Analysis
When running EPS Bio's price analysis, check to measure EPS Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EPS Bio is operating at the current time. Most of EPS Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EPS Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EPS Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EPS Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.