SAMG Entertainment Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 419530 Stock | 37,350 250.00 0.66% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SAMG Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAMG Entertainment Co from the perspective of SAMG Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SAMG Entertainment Co on the next trading day is expected to be 37,389 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,221 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73,284. SAMG Entertainment after-hype prediction price | KRW 37600.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SAMG |
SAMG Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SAMG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAMG using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAMG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SAMG Entertainment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SAMG Entertainment Co on the next trading day is expected to be 37,389 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,221, mean absolute percentage error of 2,991,778, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73,284.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SAMG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SAMG Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SAMG Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
SAMG Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SAMG Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SAMG Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37,385 and 37,393, respectively. We have considered SAMG Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SAMG Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SAMG Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 131.184 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 129.3942 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1221.4053 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73284.3192 |
Predictive Modules for SAMG Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAMG Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SAMG Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SAMG Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SAMG Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SAMG Entertainment.SAMG Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of SAMG Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SAMG Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SAMG Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SAMG Entertainment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAMG Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAMG Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAMG Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37,350 | 37,600 | 0.00 |
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SAMG Entertainment Hype Timeline
SAMG Entertainment is presently traded for 37,350on KOSDAQ of Korea. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SAMG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on SAMG Entertainment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37,350. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.SAMG Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SAMG Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAMG Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how SAMG Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAMG Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 290720 | FoodNamoo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.01 | 4.12 | (2.64) | 13.60 | |
| 003920 | Namyang Dairy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.20 | (1.95) | 5.41 | |
| 039740 | Korea Information Engineering | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.02 | 2.42 | (2.58) | 9.75 | |
| 064240 | Homecast CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.03 | 7.16 | (4.24) | 29.98 | |
| 003690 | Korean Reinsurance Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.13 | 3.36 | (2.67) | 7.72 | |
| 031440 | Shinsegae Food | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.08 | 4.48 | (2.41) | 21.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for SAMG Entertainment
For every potential investor in SAMG, whether a beginner or expert, SAMG Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SAMG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SAMG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SAMG Entertainment's price trends.SAMG Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SAMG Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SAMG Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SAMG Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SAMG Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SAMG Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SAMG Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SAMG Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SAMG Entertainment Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2063.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 37575.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 37500.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0092 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (350.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (250.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.89 |
SAMG Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of SAMG Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SAMG Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Variance | 21.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SAMG Entertainment
The number of cover stories for SAMG Entertainment depends on current market conditions and SAMG Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAMG Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAMG Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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