Li Cheng Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 4426 Stock | TWD 9.55 0.02 0.21% |
4426 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Li Cheng's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Li Cheng, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Li Cheng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Li Cheng Enterprise from the perspective of Li Cheng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Li Cheng Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.07. Li Cheng after-hype prediction price | TWD 9.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
4426 |
Li Cheng Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 4426 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 4426 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 4426 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Li Cheng Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Li Cheng Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 4426 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Li Cheng's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Li Cheng Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Li Cheng | Li Cheng Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Li Cheng Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Li Cheng's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Li Cheng's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.00 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered Li Cheng's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Li Cheng stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Li Cheng stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.5842 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.014 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0691 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.075 |
Predictive Modules for Li Cheng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Li Cheng Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Li Cheng After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Li Cheng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Li Cheng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Li Cheng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Li Cheng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Li Cheng's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Li Cheng's historical news coverage. Li Cheng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.00 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered Li Cheng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Li Cheng is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Li Cheng Enterprise is based on 3 months time horizon.
Li Cheng Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Li Cheng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Li Cheng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Li Cheng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.55 | 9.55 | 0.00 |
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Li Cheng Hype Timeline
Li Cheng Enterprise is presently traded for 9.55on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 4426 is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Li Cheng is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.55. About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Li Cheng Enterprise recorded a loss per share of 2.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2020. The firm had 1072:1000 split on the 25th of August 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Li Cheng to cross-verify your projections.Li Cheng Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Li Cheng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Li Cheng's future price movements. Getting to know how Li Cheng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Li Cheng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1445 | Universal Textile Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.86 | (2.40) | 6.43 | |
| 1467 | Tex Ray Industrial Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.0009 | 1.28 | (1.37) | 7.36 | |
| 1454 | Taiwan Taffeta Fabric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.26 | (2.91) | 6.36 | |
| 9944 | Shinih Enterprise Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | (0.12) | 0.90 | (1.18) | 2.68 | |
| 4420 | Kwang Ming Silk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.14) | 0.79 | (0.98) | 2.37 | |
| 5906 | Taiwan EnterpriseCo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (2.11) | 15.58 | |
| 4442 | JB International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.15 | (0.01) | 7.14 | (4.41) | 19.79 | |
| 5450 | Nam Liong Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | (0) | 2.89 | (2.57) | 14.84 | |
| 1466 | Acelon Chemicals Fiber | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.48 | (3.42) | 9.84 | |
| 1452 | Hong Yi Fiber | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.29 | (0.87) | 3.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Li Cheng
For every potential investor in 4426, whether a beginner or expert, Li Cheng's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 4426 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 4426. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Li Cheng's price trends.Li Cheng Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Li Cheng stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Li Cheng could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Li Cheng by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Li Cheng Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Li Cheng stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Li Cheng shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Li Cheng stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Li Cheng Enterprise entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Li Cheng Risk Indicators
The analysis of Li Cheng's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Li Cheng's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 4426 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6148 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Li Cheng
The number of cover stories for Li Cheng depends on current market conditions and Li Cheng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Li Cheng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Li Cheng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for 4426 Stock Analysis
When running Li Cheng's price analysis, check to measure Li Cheng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Li Cheng is operating at the current time. Most of Li Cheng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Li Cheng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Li Cheng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Li Cheng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.