469150 Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

469150 Etf   38,890  320.00  0.82%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 469150 on the next trading day is expected to be 38,890 with a mean absolute deviation of 694.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41,660. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast 469150's etf prices and determine the direction of 469150's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of 469150's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of 469150's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 469150, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using 469150 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 469150 from the perspective of 469150 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 469150 on the next trading day is expected to be 38,890 with a mean absolute deviation of 694.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41,660.

469150 after-hype prediction price

    
  KRW 38890.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

469150 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 469150 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 469150 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 469150 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
469150 simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for 469150 are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as 469150 prices get older.

469150 Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 469150 on the next trading day is expected to be 38,890 with a mean absolute deviation of 694.33, mean absolute percentage error of 1,053,058, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41,660.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 469150 Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 469150's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

469150 Etf Forecast Pattern

469150 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 469150's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 469150's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38,887 and 38,893, respectively. We have considered 469150's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38,890
38,887
Downside
38,890
Expected Value
38,893
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 469150 etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 469150 etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria130.1398
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -244.1667
MADMean absolute deviation694.3333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors41660.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting 469150 forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent 469150 observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 469150

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 469150. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 469150. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 469150's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 469150's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 469150.

469150 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of 469150 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 469150 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of 469150, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

469150 Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as 469150 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 469150 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 469150, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.80 
3.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38,890
38,890
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

469150 Hype Timeline

469150 is presently traded for 38,890on Korea Stock Exchange of Korea. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 469150 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on 469150 is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38,890. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

469150 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 469150's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 469150's future price movements. Getting to know how 469150's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 469150 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for 469150

For every potential investor in 469150, whether a beginner or expert, 469150's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 469150 Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 469150. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 469150's price trends.

469150 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 469150 etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 469150 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 469150 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

469150 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 469150 etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 469150 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 469150 etf market strength indicators, traders can identify 469150 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

469150 Risk Indicators

The analysis of 469150's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 469150's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 469150 etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for 469150

The number of cover stories for 469150 depends on current market conditions and 469150's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 469150 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 469150's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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