Cherng Tay Stock Forward View
| 4767 Stock | TWD 24.95 0.05 0.20% |
Cherng Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Cherng Tay's share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cherng Tay, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cherng Tay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cherng Tay Technology from the perspective of Cherng Tay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cherng Tay Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 24.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.69. Cherng Tay after-hype prediction price | TWD 24.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cherng |
Cherng Tay Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cherng price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cherng using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cherng charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cherng Tay Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cherng Tay Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 24.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cherng Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cherng Tay's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cherng Tay Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cherng Tay | Cherng Tay Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cherng Tay stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cherng Tay stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.099 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.29 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.6878 |
Predictive Modules for Cherng Tay
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cherng Tay Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cherng Tay After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cherng Tay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cherng Tay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cherng Tay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cherng Tay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cherng Tay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cherng Tay's historical news coverage. Cherng Tay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.60 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered Cherng Tay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cherng Tay is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cherng Tay Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cherng Tay Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cherng Tay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cherng Tay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cherng Tay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.95 | 24.95 | 0.00 |
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Cherng Tay Hype Timeline
Cherng Tay Technology is presently traded for 24.95on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cherng is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cherng Tay is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.95. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Cherng Tay Technology last dividend was issued on the 26th of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Cherng Tay Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cherng Tay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cherng Tay's future price movements. Getting to know how Cherng Tay's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cherng Tay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 4741 | Jetbest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.05) | 1.92 | (1.89) | 8.67 | |
| 3678 | Ushine Photonics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 3.31 | (2.41) | 6.77 | |
| 4711 | Yong Shun Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.06) | 1.35 | (1.33) | 5.81 | |
| 1776 | Headway | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.95 | (1.32) | 6.21 | |
| 4754 | INternational CArbide Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.25 | (0.90) | 4.79 | |
| 911622 | Tycoons Worldwide Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.40 | (2.56) | 19.73 | |
| 2064 | Camellia Metal Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.25 | (2.40) | 5.63 | |
| 4702 | Allied Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | (0.03) | 2.50 | (1.49) | 11.52 | |
| 6729 | Luminescence Technology Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.78 | 0.1 | 13.10 | (8.64) | 46.72 | |
| 8354 | Koan Hao Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.81 | (2.14) | 10.79 |
Cherng Tay Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cherng Tay stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cherng Tay could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cherng Tay by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cherng Tay Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cherng Tay stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cherng Tay shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cherng Tay stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cherng Tay Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cherng Tay Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cherng Tay's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cherng Tay's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cherng stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.85 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cherng Tay
The number of cover stories for Cherng Tay depends on current market conditions and Cherng Tay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cherng Tay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cherng Tay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cherng Tay Short Properties
Cherng Tay's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cherng Tay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cherng Tay Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cherng Tay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cherng Tay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.20 | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 11.43k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 27.4k | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
Additional Tools for Cherng Stock Analysis
When running Cherng Tay's price analysis, check to measure Cherng Tay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cherng Tay is operating at the current time. Most of Cherng Tay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cherng Tay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cherng Tay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cherng Tay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.