Amcor Plc Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 485 Stock | EUR 36.30 0.45 1.22% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amcor plc on the next trading day is expected to be 36.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.90. Amcor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Amcor Plc's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amcor Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amcor plc from the perspective of Amcor Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amcor plc on the next trading day is expected to be 36.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.90. Amcor Plc after-hype prediction price | EUR 36.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amcor |
Amcor Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amcor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amcor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amcor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amcor Plc Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amcor plc on the next trading day is expected to be 36.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amcor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amcor Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amcor Plc Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amcor Plc | Amcor Plc Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amcor Plc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amcor Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amcor Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.56 and 37.04, respectively. We have considered Amcor Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amcor Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amcor Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7847 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.037 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1483 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.9 |
Predictive Modules for Amcor Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amcor plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amcor Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amcor Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amcor Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amcor Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amcor Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amcor Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amcor Plc's historical news coverage. Amcor Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.56 and 37.04, respectively. We have considered Amcor Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amcor Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amcor plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amcor Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amcor Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amcor Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amcor Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.30 | 36.30 | 0.00 |
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Amcor Plc Hype Timeline
Amcor plc is presently traded for 36.30on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amcor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amcor Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Amcor plc had 5:1 split on the 23rd of October 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amcor Plc to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Amcor Stock please use our How to Invest in Amcor Plc guide.Amcor Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amcor Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amcor Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Amcor Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amcor Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVS | CVS Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.20 | (2.17) | 7.05 | |
| WY8 | Universal Health Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.46 | (1.51) | 6.13 | |
| 5E1 | EVS Broadcast Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | (0.07) | 1.81 | (1.51) | 6.80 | |
| NRSA | NTG Nordic Transport | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | (0.04) | 3.52 | (2.92) | 13.35 | |
| CLH | CARDINAL HEALTH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0.17 | 2.75 | (1.56) | 19.32 | |
| KSX | Knight Swift Transportation Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.12 | 3.86 | (3.27) | 11.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amcor Plc
For every potential investor in Amcor, whether a beginner or expert, Amcor Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amcor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amcor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amcor Plc's price trends.Amcor Plc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amcor Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amcor Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amcor Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amcor Plc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amcor Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amcor Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amcor Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amcor plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 36.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 36.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.45) |
Amcor Plc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amcor Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amcor Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amcor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3541 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2252 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7516 | |||
| Variance | 0.5649 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0507 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amcor Plc
The number of cover stories for Amcor Plc depends on current market conditions and Amcor Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amcor Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amcor Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amcor Plc Short Properties
Amcor Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amcor Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amcor plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amcor Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amcor Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -732 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 150 M |
Additional Tools for Amcor Stock Analysis
When running Amcor Plc's price analysis, check to measure Amcor Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amcor Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Amcor Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amcor Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amcor Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amcor Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.