INVITATION HOMES Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| 4IV Stock | EUR 22.80 0.60 2.56% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 22.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.02. INVITATION Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INVITATION HOMES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of INVITATION HOMES's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using INVITATION HOMES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of INVITATION HOMES DL from the perspective of INVITATION HOMES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 22.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.02. INVITATION HOMES after-hype prediction price | EUR 22.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
INVITATION |
INVITATION HOMES Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine INVITATION price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for INVITATION using various technical indicators. When you analyze INVITATION charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
INVITATION HOMES Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 22.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INVITATION Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INVITATION HOMES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
INVITATION HOMES Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest INVITATION HOMES | INVITATION HOMES Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
INVITATION HOMES Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting INVITATION HOMES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INVITATION HOMES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.96 and 24.33, respectively. We have considered INVITATION HOMES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INVITATION HOMES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INVITATION HOMES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7624 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4101 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0177 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.0152 |
Predictive Modules for INVITATION HOMES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INVITATION HOMES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INVITATION HOMES After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of INVITATION HOMES at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in INVITATION HOMES or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of INVITATION HOMES, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
INVITATION HOMES Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting INVITATION HOMES's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on INVITATION HOMES's historical news coverage. INVITATION HOMES's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.11 and 24.49, respectively. We have considered INVITATION HOMES's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
INVITATION HOMES is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of INVITATION HOMES is based on 3 months time horizon.
INVITATION HOMES Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as INVITATION HOMES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading INVITATION HOMES backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with INVITATION HOMES, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.80 | 22.80 | 0.00 |
|
INVITATION HOMES Hype Timeline
INVITATION HOMES is presently traded for 22.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. INVITATION is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on INVITATION HOMES is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.80. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 154.09. INVITATION HOMES last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of INVITATION HOMES to cross-verify your projections.INVITATION HOMES Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to INVITATION HOMES's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict INVITATION HOMES's future price movements. Getting to know how INVITATION HOMES's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how INVITATION HOMES may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MGK | MAGIC SOFTWARE ENTR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.98 | 0.14 | 5.86 | (3.00) | 14.35 | |
| H0O | REVO INSURANCE SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.76 | 0.09 | 8.92 | (9.22) | 24.57 | |
| SPT6 | Beta Systems Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.09 | 5.06 | (4.27) | 15.06 | |
| SQS | Sqs Software Quality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.04 | 0.01 | 4.64 | (4.32) | 22.63 | |
| 7XJ | LIFENET INSURANCE CO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.01 | 4.19 | (3.40) | 12.63 | |
| WSV2 | Vienna Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.26 | 4.55 | (2.30) | 10.66 | |
| C53 | China Reinsurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.59 | 0.03 | 6.25 | (5.88) | 33.75 | |
| 0UI | United Insurance Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.01) | 2.87 | (2.59) | 9.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for INVITATION HOMES
For every potential investor in INVITATION, whether a beginner or expert, INVITATION HOMES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INVITATION Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INVITATION. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INVITATION HOMES's price trends.INVITATION HOMES Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INVITATION HOMES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INVITATION HOMES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INVITATION HOMES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
INVITATION HOMES Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INVITATION HOMES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INVITATION HOMES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INVITATION HOMES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INVITATION HOMES DL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
INVITATION HOMES Risk Indicators
The analysis of INVITATION HOMES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INVITATION HOMES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting invitation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for INVITATION HOMES
The number of cover stories for INVITATION HOMES depends on current market conditions and INVITATION HOMES's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that INVITATION HOMES is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about INVITATION HOMES's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
INVITATION HOMES Short Properties
INVITATION HOMES's future price predictability will typically decrease when INVITATION HOMES's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of INVITATION HOMES DL often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential INVITATION HOMES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INVITATION HOMES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0288 | |
| Shares Float | 609.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in INVITATION Stock
INVITATION HOMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVITATION Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVITATION with respect to the benefits of owning INVITATION HOMES security.