NETEASE INC Stock Forward View

4Y01 Stock  EUR 20.20  0.30  1.51%   
NETEASE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NETEASE INC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of NETEASE INC's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NETEASE INC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NETEASE INC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NETEASE INC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NETEASE INC ON, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NETEASE INC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.03
Using NETEASE INC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NETEASE INC ON from the perspective of NETEASE INC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NETEASE INC ON on the next trading day is expected to be 20.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.18.

NETEASE INC after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 20.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NETEASE INC to cross-verify your projections.

NETEASE INC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NETEASE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NETEASE using various technical indicators. When you analyze NETEASE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for NETEASE INC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NETEASE INC ON value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NETEASE INC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NETEASE INC ON on the next trading day is expected to be 20.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NETEASE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NETEASE INC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NETEASE INC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NETEASE INC  NETEASE INC Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

NETEASE INC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NETEASE INC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NETEASE INC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.86 and 22.88, respectively. We have considered NETEASE INC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.20
20.87
Expected Value
22.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NETEASE INC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NETEASE INC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4403
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0159
SAESum of the absolute errors22.1834
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NETEASE INC ON. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NETEASE INC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NETEASE INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NETEASE INC ON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2420.2522.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7817.7922.22
Details

NETEASE INC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NETEASE INC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NETEASE INC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NETEASE INC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NETEASE INC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NETEASE INC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NETEASE INC's historical news coverage. NETEASE INC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.24 and 22.26, respectively. We have considered NETEASE INC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.20
20.25
After-hype Price
22.26
Upside
NETEASE INC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NETEASE INC ON is based on 3 months time horizon.

NETEASE INC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NETEASE INC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NETEASE INC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NETEASE INC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.01
  0.05 
  153.79 
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.20
20.25
0.25 
1,005  
Notes

NETEASE INC Hype Timeline

NETEASE INC ON is presently traded for 20.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 153.79. NETEASE is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on NETEASE INC is about 0.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.99. The company reported the revenue of 112.63 B. Net Income was 11.95 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.4 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NETEASE INC to cross-verify your projections.

NETEASE INC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NETEASE INC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NETEASE INC's future price movements. Getting to know how NETEASE INC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NETEASE INC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for NETEASE INC

For every potential investor in NETEASE, whether a beginner or expert, NETEASE INC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NETEASE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NETEASE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NETEASE INC's price trends.

NETEASE INC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NETEASE INC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NETEASE INC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NETEASE INC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NETEASE INC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NETEASE INC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NETEASE INC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NETEASE INC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NETEASE INC ON entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NETEASE INC Risk Indicators

The analysis of NETEASE INC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NETEASE INC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netease stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NETEASE INC

The number of cover stories for NETEASE INC depends on current market conditions and NETEASE INC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NETEASE INC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NETEASE INC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in NETEASE Stock

NETEASE INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether NETEASE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NETEASE with respect to the benefits of owning NETEASE INC security.