Brightek Optoelectronic Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

5244 Stock   43.55  3.95  9.97%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brightek Optoelectronic Co on the next trading day is expected to be 40.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.21. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Brightek Optoelectronic's stock prices and determine the direction of Brightek Optoelectronic Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brightek Optoelectronic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. At this time the value of rsi of Brightek Optoelectronic's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brightek Optoelectronic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brightek Optoelectronic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brightek Optoelectronic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brightek Optoelectronic Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Brightek Optoelectronic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brightek Optoelectronic Co from the perspective of Brightek Optoelectronic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Brightek Optoelectronic Co on the next trading day is expected to be 40.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.21.

Brightek Optoelectronic after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 43.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Brightek Optoelectronic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brightek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brightek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brightek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Brightek Optoelectronic price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Brightek Optoelectronic Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Brightek Optoelectronic Co on the next trading day is expected to be 40.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 2.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brightek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brightek Optoelectronic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brightek Optoelectronic Stock Forecast Pattern

Brightek Optoelectronic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brightek Optoelectronic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brightek Optoelectronic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.15 and 42.44, respectively. We have considered Brightek Optoelectronic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.55
40.30
Expected Value
42.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brightek Optoelectronic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brightek Optoelectronic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0327
SAESum of the absolute errors80.2098
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Brightek Optoelectronic Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Brightek Optoelectronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brightek Optoelectronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Brightek Optoelectronic

For every potential investor in Brightek, whether a beginner or expert, Brightek Optoelectronic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brightek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brightek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brightek Optoelectronic's price trends.

Brightek Optoelectronic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brightek Optoelectronic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brightek Optoelectronic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brightek Optoelectronic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brightek Optoelectronic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Brightek Optoelectronic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Brightek Optoelectronic's current price.

Brightek Optoelectronic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brightek Optoelectronic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brightek Optoelectronic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brightek Optoelectronic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brightek Optoelectronic Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brightek Optoelectronic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brightek Optoelectronic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brightek Optoelectronic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brightek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Brightek Stock Analysis

When running Brightek Optoelectronic's price analysis, check to measure Brightek Optoelectronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brightek Optoelectronic is operating at the current time. Most of Brightek Optoelectronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brightek Optoelectronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brightek Optoelectronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brightek Optoelectronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.