Empower Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

5348 Stock  TWD 16.85  0.05  0.30%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Empower Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.27. Empower Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Empower Technology's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Empower Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Empower Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Empower Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Empower Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Empower Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empower Technology from the perspective of Empower Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Empower Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.27.

Empower Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 16.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out fundamental analysis of Empower Technology to check your projections.

Empower Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Empower price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empower using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empower charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Empower Technology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Empower Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Empower Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Empower Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 15.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Empower Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Empower Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Empower Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Empower Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Empower Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Empower Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.95 and 17.90, respectively. We have considered Empower Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.85
15.93
Expected Value
17.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Empower Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Empower Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3323
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors20.268
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Empower Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Empower Technology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Empower Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empower Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8716.8518.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5317.5119.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Empower Technology

For every potential investor in Empower, whether a beginner or expert, Empower Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Empower Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Empower. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Empower Technology's price trends.

Empower Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Empower Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Empower Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empower Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Empower Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Empower Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Empower Technology's current price.

Empower Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Empower Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Empower Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Empower Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Empower Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Empower Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Empower Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Empower Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting empower stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Empower Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Empower Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Empower Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Empower Stock

  0.831303 Nan Ya PlasticsPairCorr
  0.654157 Taigen BiopharmaceuticaPairCorr
  0.572303 United MicroelectronicsPairCorr
  0.492454 MediaTekPairCorr
  0.491301 Formosa Plastics CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Empower Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Empower Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Empower Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Empower Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Empower Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Empower Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Empower Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Empower Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Empower Stock Analysis

When running Empower Technology's price analysis, check to measure Empower Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empower Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Empower Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empower Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empower Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empower Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.