Mustang Industrial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

5460 Stock  TWD 15.65  0.25  1.62%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mustang Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 15.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.21. Mustang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Mustang Industrial's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mustang Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mustang Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mustang Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mustang Industrial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mustang Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mustang Industrial from the perspective of Mustang Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mustang Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 15.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.21.

Mustang Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 15.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mustang Industrial to cross-verify your projections.

Mustang Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mustang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mustang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mustang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Mustang Industrial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mustang Industrial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mustang Industrial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mustang Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 15.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mustang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mustang Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mustang Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mustang IndustrialMustang Industrial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mustang Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mustang Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mustang Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.62 and 17.06, respectively. We have considered Mustang Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.65
15.34
Expected Value
17.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mustang Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mustang Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3008
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.213
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors13.2082
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mustang Industrial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mustang Industrial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mustang Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mustang Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9315.6517.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0912.8117.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mustang Industrial

For every potential investor in Mustang, whether a beginner or expert, Mustang Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mustang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mustang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mustang Industrial's price trends.

Mustang Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mustang Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mustang Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mustang Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mustang Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mustang Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mustang Industrial's current price.

Mustang Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mustang Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mustang Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mustang Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mustang Industrial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mustang Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mustang Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mustang Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mustang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Mustang Industrial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mustang Industrial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mustang Industrial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Mustang Stock

  0.641785 Solar Applied MaterialsPairCorr

Moving against Mustang Stock

  0.742357 Asustek ComputerPairCorr
  0.631569 Bin Chuan EnterprisePairCorr
  0.64966 Parade TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.526235 Waffer Technology CorpPairCorr
  0.471589 Yeong Guan EnergyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mustang Industrial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mustang Industrial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mustang Industrial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mustang Industrial to buy it.
The correlation of Mustang Industrial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mustang Industrial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mustang Industrial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mustang Industrial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Mustang Stock Analysis

When running Mustang Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Mustang Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mustang Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Mustang Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mustang Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mustang Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mustang Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.