Archrock Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 54E Stock | EUR 23.00 0.20 0.86% |
Archrock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Archrock's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Archrock's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Archrock, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Archrock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archrock from the perspective of Archrock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Archrock on the next trading day is expected to be 23.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.80. Archrock after-hype prediction price | EUR 23.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Archrock |
Archrock Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Archrock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archrock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archrock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Archrock Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Archrock on the next trading day is expected to be 23.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Archrock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Archrock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Archrock Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Archrock | Archrock Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Archrock Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Archrock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Archrock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.02 and 25.01, respectively. We have considered Archrock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Archrock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Archrock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0339 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3133 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.7993 |
Predictive Modules for Archrock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archrock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archrock After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Archrock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Archrock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Archrock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Archrock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Archrock's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Archrock's historical news coverage. Archrock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.01 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered Archrock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Archrock is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Archrock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Archrock Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Archrock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archrock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Archrock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 |
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Archrock Hype Timeline
Archrock is presently traded for 23.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Archrock is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Archrock is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.00. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Archrock last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archrock to cross-verify your projections.Archrock Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Archrock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Archrock's future price movements. Getting to know how Archrock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Archrock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SQE | Strategic Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.05 | 2.92 | (3.73) | 11.10 | |
| IZZ | TAL Education Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.88 | (4.06) | 18.96 | |
| BE4A | Beazer Homes USA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.02 | 5.85 | (3.81) | 12.85 | |
| 74W | LEONS FURNITURE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.03) | 2.27 | (2.34) | 8.44 | |
| 690D | Haier Smart Home | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.04 | 1.53 | (1.46) | 7.63 | |
| HTG | HomeToGo SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.03 | (0.01) | 6.25 | (6.41) | 16.97 | |
| LG1 | LGI Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.03 | 9.57 | (5.42) | 18.70 | |
| CE1 | Perdoceo Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.99 | (3.81) | 11.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Archrock
For every potential investor in Archrock, whether a beginner or expert, Archrock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Archrock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Archrock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Archrock's price trends.Archrock Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Archrock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Archrock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archrock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Archrock Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Archrock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Archrock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Archrock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Archrock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.96 |
Archrock Risk Indicators
The analysis of Archrock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Archrock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting archrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Archrock
The number of cover stories for Archrock depends on current market conditions and Archrock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archrock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archrock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Archrock Stock
Archrock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archrock Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archrock with respect to the benefits of owning Archrock security.