TLOU ENERGY Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 55L Stock | EUR 0.01 0.01 2,100% |
TLOU Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TLOU ENERGY's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of TLOU ENERGY's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.2 K |
Using TLOU ENERGY hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TLOU ENERGY LTD from the perspective of TLOU ENERGY response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TLOU ENERGY LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. TLOU ENERGY after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TLOU |
TLOU ENERGY Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TLOU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TLOU using various technical indicators. When you analyze TLOU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TLOU ENERGY Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TLOU ENERGY LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000423, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TLOU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TLOU ENERGY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TLOU ENERGY Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TLOU ENERGY | TLOU ENERGY Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TLOU ENERGY Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TLOU ENERGY's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TLOU ENERGY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 157.15, respectively. We have considered TLOU ENERGY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TLOU ENERGY stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TLOU ENERGY stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0013 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.6893 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.077 |
Predictive Modules for TLOU ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TLOU ENERGY LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TLOU ENERGY After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TLOU ENERGY at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TLOU ENERGY or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TLOU ENERGY, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TLOU ENERGY Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TLOU ENERGY's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TLOU ENERGY's historical news coverage. TLOU ENERGY's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.56, respectively. We have considered TLOU ENERGY's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TLOU ENERGY is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TLOU ENERGY LTD is based on 3 months time horizon.
TLOU ENERGY Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TLOU ENERGY is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TLOU ENERGY backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TLOU ENERGY, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
26.85 | 157.15 | 0.00 | 7.12 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 9.09 |
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TLOU ENERGY Hype Timeline
TLOU ENERGY LTD is presently traded for 0.01on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 7.12. TLOU is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 26.85%. The volatility of related hype on TLOU ENERGY is about 59301.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.13. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. TLOU ENERGY LTD had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TLOU ENERGY to cross-verify your projections.TLOU ENERGY Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TLOU ENERGY's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TLOU ENERGY's future price movements. Getting to know how TLOU ENERGY's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TLOU ENERGY may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DVY | DEVRY EDUCATION GRP | 1.50 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.26 | (3.73) | 33.47 | |
| IZZ | TAL Education Group | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.76 | (4.28) | 22.17 | |
| DFA1 | DAIRY FARM INTL | 0.04 | 1 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 4.22 | (2.63) | 9.55 | |
| DFA1 | Dairy Farm International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.13 | 4.26 | (2.96) | 11.48 | |
| DVY | Adtalem Global Education | 4.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.77 | (4.14) | 31.56 | |
| DVY | DeVry Education Group | (4.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.82 | (5.56) | 30.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for TLOU ENERGY
For every potential investor in TLOU, whether a beginner or expert, TLOU ENERGY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TLOU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TLOU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TLOU ENERGY's price trends.TLOU ENERGY Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TLOU ENERGY stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TLOU ENERGY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TLOU ENERGY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TLOU ENERGY Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TLOU ENERGY stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TLOU ENERGY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TLOU ENERGY stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TLOU ENERGY LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TLOU ENERGY Risk Indicators
The analysis of TLOU ENERGY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TLOU ENERGY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tlou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 82.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 19.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 271.05 | |||
| Variance | 73469.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1578.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 360.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (221.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TLOU ENERGY
The number of cover stories for TLOU ENERGY depends on current market conditions and TLOU ENERGY's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TLOU ENERGY is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TLOU ENERGY's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in TLOU Stock
TLOU ENERGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether TLOU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TLOU with respect to the benefits of owning TLOU ENERGY security.