GUARDANT HEALTH Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

5GH Stock  EUR 33.99  0.36  1.07%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GUARDANT HEALTH CL on the next trading day is expected to be 26.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.06. GUARDANT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GUARDANT HEALTH's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through GUARDANT HEALTH price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

GUARDANT HEALTH Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GUARDANT HEALTH CL on the next trading day is expected to be 26.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.94, mean absolute percentage error of 10.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GUARDANT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GUARDANT HEALTH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GUARDANT HEALTH Stock Forecast Pattern

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GUARDANT HEALTH Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GUARDANT HEALTH's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GUARDANT HEALTH's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.80 and 31.12, respectively. We have considered GUARDANT HEALTH's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.99
26.96
Expected Value
31.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GUARDANT HEALTH stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GUARDANT HEALTH stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4931
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9354
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.131
SAESum of the absolute errors179.059
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as GUARDANT HEALTH CL historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for GUARDANT HEALTH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GUARDANT HEALTH CL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.8333.9938.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4732.6336.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.2329.3434.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GUARDANT HEALTH

For every potential investor in GUARDANT, whether a beginner or expert, GUARDANT HEALTH's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GUARDANT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GUARDANT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GUARDANT HEALTH's price trends.

GUARDANT HEALTH Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GUARDANT HEALTH stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GUARDANT HEALTH could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GUARDANT HEALTH by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GUARDANT HEALTH CL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GUARDANT HEALTH's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GUARDANT HEALTH's current price.

GUARDANT HEALTH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GUARDANT HEALTH stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GUARDANT HEALTH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GUARDANT HEALTH stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GUARDANT HEALTH CL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GUARDANT HEALTH Risk Indicators

The analysis of GUARDANT HEALTH's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GUARDANT HEALTH's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guardant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in GUARDANT Stock

GUARDANT HEALTH financial ratios help investors to determine whether GUARDANT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GUARDANT with respect to the benefits of owning GUARDANT HEALTH security.