Jumbo SA Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

5JB Stock  EUR 27.66  0.16  0.58%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jumbo SA on the next trading day is expected to be 27.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.79. Jumbo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jumbo SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Jumbo SA's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jumbo SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jumbo SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jumbo SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jumbo SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jumbo SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jumbo SA from the perspective of Jumbo SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jumbo SA on the next trading day is expected to be 27.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.79.

Jumbo SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 27.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jumbo SA to cross-verify your projections.

Jumbo SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jumbo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jumbo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jumbo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Jumbo SA simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jumbo SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jumbo SA prices get older.

Jumbo SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jumbo SA on the next trading day is expected to be 27.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jumbo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jumbo SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jumbo SA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jumbo SAJumbo SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jumbo SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jumbo SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jumbo SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.96 and 29.31, respectively. We have considered Jumbo SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.66
27.63
Expected Value
29.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jumbo SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jumbo SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4228
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0098
MADMean absolute deviation0.3244
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors19.7863
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jumbo SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jumbo SA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jumbo SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jumbo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.9827.6629.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6322.3130.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.4427.2628.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jumbo SA

For every potential investor in Jumbo, whether a beginner or expert, Jumbo SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jumbo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jumbo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jumbo SA's price trends.

Jumbo SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jumbo SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jumbo SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jumbo SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jumbo SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jumbo SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jumbo SA's current price.

Jumbo SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jumbo SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jumbo SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jumbo SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jumbo SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jumbo SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jumbo SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jumbo SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jumbo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jumbo Stock

Jumbo SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jumbo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jumbo with respect to the benefits of owning Jumbo SA security.