Shanghai Pudong Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

600000 Stock   9.48  0.23  2.37%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Pudong Development on the next trading day is expected to be 9.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.03. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Pudong stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Pudong Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Pudong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shanghai Pudong's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 761 B, whereas Cash is forecasted to decline to about 663.4 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Shanghai Pudong is based on an artificially constructed time series of Shanghai Pudong daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Shanghai Pudong 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Pudong Development on the next trading day is expected to be 9.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Pudong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Pudong Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai Pudong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Pudong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Pudong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.63 and 11.67, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Pudong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.48
9.65
Expected Value
11.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Pudong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Pudong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.603
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0842
MADMean absolute deviation0.2648
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0274
SAESum of the absolute errors14.0338
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Shanghai Pudong Development 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Pudong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Pudong Deve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.469.4811.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.907.929.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Pudong

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Pudong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Pudong's price trends.

Shanghai Pudong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Pudong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Pudong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Pudong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Pudong Deve Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai Pudong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai Pudong's current price.

Shanghai Pudong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Pudong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Pudong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Pudong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Pudong Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Pudong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Pudong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Pudong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Pudong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Pudong security.