Nanjing Gaoke Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 600064 Stock | 8.97 0.05 0.55% |
Nanjing Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nanjing Gaoke stock prices and determine the direction of Nanjing Gaoke Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nanjing Gaoke's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Nanjing Gaoke's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nanjing Gaoke, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.298 | Wall Street Target Price 6.81 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Nanjing Gaoke hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nanjing Gaoke Co from the perspective of Nanjing Gaoke response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nanjing Gaoke Co on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.85. Nanjing Gaoke after-hype prediction price | CNY 8.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nanjing |
Nanjing Gaoke Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nanjing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nanjing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nanjing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nanjing Gaoke Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nanjing Gaoke Co on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nanjing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nanjing Gaoke's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nanjing Gaoke Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nanjing Gaoke | Nanjing Gaoke Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nanjing Gaoke Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nanjing Gaoke's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nanjing Gaoke's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.55 and 10.41, respectively. We have considered Nanjing Gaoke's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nanjing Gaoke stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nanjing Gaoke stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0202 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0975 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.8478 |
Predictive Modules for Nanjing Gaoke
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanjing Gaoke. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nanjing Gaoke After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nanjing Gaoke at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nanjing Gaoke or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nanjing Gaoke, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nanjing Gaoke Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nanjing Gaoke's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nanjing Gaoke's historical news coverage. Nanjing Gaoke's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.54 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Nanjing Gaoke's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nanjing Gaoke is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nanjing Gaoke is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nanjing Gaoke Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nanjing Gaoke is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nanjing Gaoke backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nanjing Gaoke, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.43 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.97 | 8.97 | 0.00 |
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Nanjing Gaoke Hype Timeline
Nanjing Gaoke is presently traded for 8.97on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Nanjing is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nanjing Gaoke is about 1564.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.98. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Nanjing Gaoke last dividend was issued on the 23rd of July 2025. The entity had 1.4:1 split on the 15th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nanjing Gaoke to cross-verify your projections.Nanjing Gaoke Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nanjing Gaoke's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nanjing Gaoke's future price movements. Getting to know how Nanjing Gaoke's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nanjing Gaoke may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601949 | China Publishing Media | 0.19 | 1 per month | 1.36 | (0) | 2.43 | (2.32) | 14.04 | |
| 300496 | Thunder Software Technology | (0.23) | 6 per month | 1.75 | 0.07 | 3.72 | (2.67) | 18.79 | |
| 601319 | Peoples Insurance of | (0.11) | 2 per month | 1.75 | 0.0001 | 3.92 | (2.99) | 8.97 | |
| 002354 | Dalian Zeus Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.05 | 6.06 | (4.09) | 17.78 | |
| 603636 | Linewell Software Co | (0.43) | 1 per month | 2.55 | (0.01) | 5.08 | (3.64) | 16.30 | |
| 688590 | Shanghai Newtouch Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | 0.02 | 4.51 | (3.78) | 20.54 | |
| 603171 | Servyou Software Group | 1.22 | 3 per month | 2.07 | 0.22 | 9.99 | (3.50) | 16.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nanjing Gaoke
For every potential investor in Nanjing, whether a beginner or expert, Nanjing Gaoke's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nanjing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nanjing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nanjing Gaoke's price trends.Nanjing Gaoke Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nanjing Gaoke stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nanjing Gaoke could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nanjing Gaoke by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nanjing Gaoke Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nanjing Gaoke stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nanjing Gaoke shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nanjing Gaoke stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nanjing Gaoke Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 567039.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.26) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.86 |
Nanjing Gaoke Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nanjing Gaoke's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nanjing Gaoke's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nanjing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9757 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nanjing Gaoke
The number of cover stories for Nanjing Gaoke depends on current market conditions and Nanjing Gaoke's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nanjing Gaoke is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nanjing Gaoke's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nanjing Gaoke Short Properties
Nanjing Gaoke's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nanjing Gaoke's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nanjing Gaoke Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nanjing Gaoke's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanjing Gaoke's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Other Information on Investing in Nanjing Stock
Nanjing Gaoke financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanjing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanjing with respect to the benefits of owning Nanjing Gaoke security.