Shengyi Technology Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

600183 Stock   20.57  0.17  0.83%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shengyi Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.12. Shengyi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shengyi Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Shengyi Technology Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shengyi Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shengyi Technology's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 7.7 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 4.5 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Shengyi Technology is based on an artificially constructed time series of Shengyi Technology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Shengyi Technology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shengyi Technology Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shengyi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shengyi Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shengyi Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shengyi Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shengyi Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shengyi Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.85 and 23.82, respectively. We have considered Shengyi Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.57
20.84
Expected Value
23.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shengyi Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shengyi Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6564
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2704
MADMean absolute deviation0.8135
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0402
SAESum of the absolute errors43.1175
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Shengyi Technology Co 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Shengyi Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shengyi Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4120.4023.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8316.8222.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shengyi Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shengyi Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shengyi Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shengyi Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Shengyi Technology

For every potential investor in Shengyi, whether a beginner or expert, Shengyi Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shengyi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shengyi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shengyi Technology's price trends.

Shengyi Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shengyi Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shengyi Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shengyi Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shengyi Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shengyi Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shengyi Technology's current price.

Shengyi Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shengyi Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shengyi Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shengyi Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shengyi Technology Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shengyi Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shengyi Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shengyi Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shengyi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shengyi Stock

Shengyi Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shengyi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shengyi with respect to the benefits of owning Shengyi Technology security.