Beijing Sanyuan Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

600429 Stock   4.40  0.12  2.80%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Sanyuan Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 4.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing Sanyuan stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing Sanyuan Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Sanyuan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing Sanyuan's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 467.6 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 6 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Beijing Sanyuan is based on an artificially constructed time series of Beijing Sanyuan daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Beijing Sanyuan 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Sanyuan Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 4.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Sanyuan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Sanyuan Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beijing SanyuanBeijing Sanyuan Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Beijing Sanyuan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijing Sanyuan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijing Sanyuan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.13 and 6.52, respectively. We have considered Beijing Sanyuan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.40
4.33
Expected Value
6.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Sanyuan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Sanyuan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.8989
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0603
MADMean absolute deviation0.1132
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0267
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9975
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Beijing Sanyuan Foods 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Sanyuan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Sanyuan Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.204.406.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.044.246.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Sanyuan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Sanyuan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Sanyuan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Sanyuan Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for Beijing Sanyuan

For every potential investor in Beijing, whether a beginner or expert, Beijing Sanyuan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijing Sanyuan's price trends.

Beijing Sanyuan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Sanyuan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Sanyuan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Sanyuan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Sanyuan Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijing Sanyuan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijing Sanyuan's current price.

Beijing Sanyuan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Sanyuan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Sanyuan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Sanyuan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Sanyuan Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Sanyuan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Sanyuan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Sanyuan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Sanyuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Sanyuan security.