Guangdong Hec Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

600673 Stock   32.12  1.84  6.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangdong Hec Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.70. Guangdong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Guangdong Hec stock prices and determine the direction of Guangdong Hec Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guangdong Hec's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Guangdong Hec's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangdong Hec's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangdong Hec Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Guangdong Hec's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.353
Wall Street Target Price
9.71
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.342
Using Guangdong Hec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Hec Technology from the perspective of Guangdong Hec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangdong Hec Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.70.

Guangdong Hec after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 32.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guangdong Hec to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Guangdong Hec's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 11.9 B, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are forecasted to decline to about 342.3 M.

Guangdong Hec Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Guangdong Hec is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Guangdong Hec Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Guangdong Hec Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guangdong Hec Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangdong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangdong Hec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guangdong Hec Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guangdong HecGuangdong Hec Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Guangdong Hec Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guangdong Hec's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangdong Hec's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.84 and 39.47, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Hec's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.12
36.16
Expected Value
39.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangdong Hec stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangdong Hec stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.545
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6242
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors38.7011
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Guangdong Hec Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Guangdong Hec. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Guangdong Hec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangdong Hec Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.7832.1035.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9234.2437.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.10.100.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangdong Hec. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangdong Hec's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangdong Hec's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangdong Hec Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Guangdong Hec

For every potential investor in Guangdong, whether a beginner or expert, Guangdong Hec's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangdong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangdong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangdong Hec's price trends.

Guangdong Hec Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangdong Hec stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangdong Hec could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangdong Hec by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guangdong Hec Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guangdong Hec's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guangdong Hec's current price.

Guangdong Hec Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangdong Hec stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangdong Hec shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangdong Hec stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangdong Hec Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Guangdong Hec Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guangdong Hec's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guangdong Hec's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guangdong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Hec financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Hec security.