WuXi Xinje Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

603416 Stock   44.70  1.23  2.68%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WuXi Xinje Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 46.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.11. WuXi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WuXi Xinje stock prices and determine the direction of WuXi Xinje Electric's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WuXi Xinje's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, WuXi Xinje's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 857.9 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 3.1 M.
A naive forecasting model for WuXi Xinje is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WuXi Xinje Electric value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WuXi Xinje Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WuXi Xinje Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 46.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 2.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WuXi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WuXi Xinje's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WuXi Xinje Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WuXi Xinje stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WuXi Xinje stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9362
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2313
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0311
SAESum of the absolute errors75.1085
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WuXi Xinje Electric. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WuXi Xinje. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WuXi Xinje

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WuXi Xinje Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.3344.0646.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.2350.0452.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.3543.7858.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.420.460.55
Details

WuXi Xinje Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WuXi Xinje stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WuXi Xinje could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WuXi Xinje by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WuXi Xinje Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WuXi Xinje stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WuXi Xinje shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WuXi Xinje stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WuXi Xinje Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WuXi Xinje Risk Indicators

The analysis of WuXi Xinje's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WuXi Xinje's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wuxi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in WuXi Stock

WuXi Xinje financial ratios help investors to determine whether WuXi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WuXi with respect to the benefits of owning WuXi Xinje security.