Anji Foodstuff Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

603696 Stock   7.70  0.23  2.90%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Anji Foodstuff Co on the next trading day is expected to be 7.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28. Anji Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Anji Foodstuff stock prices and determine the direction of Anji Foodstuff Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Anji Foodstuff's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Anji Foodstuff's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 588.9 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 1.6 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Anji Foodstuff is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Anji Foodstuff Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Anji Foodstuff Co on the next trading day is expected to be 7.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anji Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anji Foodstuff's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anji Foodstuff Stock Forecast Pattern

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Anji Foodstuff Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Anji Foodstuff's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anji Foodstuff's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.14 and 10.26, respectively. We have considered Anji Foodstuff's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.70
7.70
Expected Value
10.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anji Foodstuff stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anji Foodstuff stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2415
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0316
MADMean absolute deviation0.1547
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0207
SAESum of the absolute errors9.285
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Anji Foodstuff Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Anji Foodstuff. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Anji Foodstuff

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anji Foodstuff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.107.6610.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.776.338.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anji Foodstuff. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anji Foodstuff's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anji Foodstuff's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anji Foodstuff.

Other Forecasting Options for Anji Foodstuff

For every potential investor in Anji, whether a beginner or expert, Anji Foodstuff's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anji Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anji. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anji Foodstuff's price trends.

Anji Foodstuff Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anji Foodstuff stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anji Foodstuff could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anji Foodstuff by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anji Foodstuff Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Anji Foodstuff's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Anji Foodstuff's current price.

Anji Foodstuff Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anji Foodstuff stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anji Foodstuff shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anji Foodstuff stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Anji Foodstuff Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anji Foodstuff Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anji Foodstuff's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anji Foodstuff's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anji stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Anji Stock

Anji Foodstuff financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anji Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anji with respect to the benefits of owning Anji Foodstuff security.