RoadMain T Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

603860 Stock   31.12  0.52  1.70%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RoadMain T Co on the next trading day is expected to be 31.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.85. RoadMain Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RoadMain T stock prices and determine the direction of RoadMain T Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RoadMain T's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, RoadMain T's Other Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 53.9 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 619.5 M.
A two period moving average forecast for RoadMain T is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

RoadMain T Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RoadMain T Co on the next trading day is expected to be 31.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RoadMain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RoadMain T's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RoadMain T Stock Forecast Pattern

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RoadMain T Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RoadMain T's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RoadMain T's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.61 and 34.63, respectively. We have considered RoadMain T's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.12
31.12
Expected Value
34.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RoadMain T stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RoadMain T stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4324
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1668
MADMean absolute deviation0.7475
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0243
SAESum of the absolute errors44.85
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of RoadMain T Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of RoadMain T. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for RoadMain T

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RoadMain T. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9331.4434.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5226.0334.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.5332.5235.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RoadMain T. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RoadMain T's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RoadMain T's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RoadMain T.

Other Forecasting Options for RoadMain T

For every potential investor in RoadMain, whether a beginner or expert, RoadMain T's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RoadMain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RoadMain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RoadMain T's price trends.

RoadMain T Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RoadMain T stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RoadMain T could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RoadMain T by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RoadMain T Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RoadMain T's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RoadMain T's current price.

RoadMain T Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RoadMain T stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RoadMain T shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RoadMain T stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RoadMain T Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RoadMain T Risk Indicators

The analysis of RoadMain T's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RoadMain T's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roadmain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in RoadMain Stock

RoadMain T financial ratios help investors to determine whether RoadMain Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RoadMain with respect to the benefits of owning RoadMain T security.