Holike Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| 603898 Stock | 10.40 0.53 5.37% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Holike on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.12. Holike Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Holike stock prices and determine the direction of Holike's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Holike's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Holike |
Holike 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Holike on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Holike Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Holike's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Holike Stock Forecast Pattern
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Holike Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Holike's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Holike's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.47 and 12.53, respectively. We have considered Holike's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Holike stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Holike stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5157 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1313 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2126 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.1175 |
Predictive Modules for Holike
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holike. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Holike
For every potential investor in Holike, whether a beginner or expert, Holike's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Holike Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Holike. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Holike's price trends.Holike Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Holike stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Holike could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Holike by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Holike Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Holike's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Holike's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Holike Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Holike stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Holike shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Holike stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Holike entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Holike Risk Indicators
The analysis of Holike's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Holike's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting holike stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Holike Stock
Holike financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holike Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holike with respect to the benefits of owning Holike security.