Xiangyang Changyuan Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

603950 Stock   31.92  1.03  3.33%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu on the next trading day is expected to be 29.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08. Xiangyang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xiangyang Changyuan stock prices and determine the direction of Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xiangyang Changyuan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Xiangyang Changyuan's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xiangyang Changyuan's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xiangyang Changyuan's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.772
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.238
Using Xiangyang Changyuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu from the perspective of Xiangyang Changyuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu on the next trading day is expected to be 29.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08.

Xiangyang Changyuan after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 32.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xiangyang Changyuan to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Xiangyang Changyuan's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 1.5 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.3 B.

Xiangyang Changyuan Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xiangyang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xiangyang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xiangyang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Xiangyang Changyuan price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Xiangyang Changyuan Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu on the next trading day is expected to be 29.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 1.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xiangyang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xiangyang Changyuan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xiangyang Changyuan Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Xiangyang ChangyuanXiangyang Changyuan Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Xiangyang Changyuan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xiangyang Changyuan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xiangyang Changyuan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.13 and 32.05, respectively. We have considered Xiangyang Changyuan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.92
29.09
Expected Value
32.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xiangyang Changyuan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xiangyang Changyuan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6625
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0833
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0349
SAESum of the absolute errors66.0801
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Xiangyang Changyuan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiangyang Changyuan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2632.2235.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8231.7834.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.5830.0832.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiangyang Changyuan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiangyang Changyuan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiangyang Changyuan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiangyang Changyuan.

Other Forecasting Options for Xiangyang Changyuan

For every potential investor in Xiangyang, whether a beginner or expert, Xiangyang Changyuan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xiangyang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xiangyang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xiangyang Changyuan's price trends.

Xiangyang Changyuan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xiangyang Changyuan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xiangyang Changyuan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xiangyang Changyuan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xiangyang Changyuan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xiangyang Changyuan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xiangyang Changyuan's current price.

Xiangyang Changyuan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xiangyang Changyuan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xiangyang Changyuan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xiangyang Changyuan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xiangyang Changyuan Donggu entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xiangyang Changyuan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xiangyang Changyuan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xiangyang Changyuan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xiangyang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Xiangyang Stock

Xiangyang Changyuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiangyang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiangyang with respect to the benefits of owning Xiangyang Changyuan security.