Zhejiang Gongdong Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

605369 Stock   18.66  0.07  0.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 18.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.28. Zhejiang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zhejiang Gongdong stock prices and determine the direction of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zhejiang Gongdong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Zhejiang Gongdong's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zhejiang Gongdong's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zhejiang Gongdong Medical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zhejiang Gongdong's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Wall Street Target Price
50
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Using Zhejiang Gongdong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical from the perspective of Zhejiang Gongdong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 18.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.28.

Zhejiang Gongdong after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 18.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zhejiang Gongdong to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Zhejiang Gongdong's Property Plant And Equipment Net is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Current Deferred Revenue is expected to grow to about 47.9 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.3 B.

Zhejiang Gongdong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zhejiang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zhejiang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zhejiang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Zhejiang Gongdong is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zhejiang Gongdong Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 18.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zhejiang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zhejiang Gongdong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zhejiang Gongdong Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zhejiang GongdongZhejiang Gongdong Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zhejiang Gongdong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zhejiang Gongdong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zhejiang Gongdong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.62 and 20.24, respectively. We have considered Zhejiang Gongdong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.66
18.93
Expected Value
20.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zhejiang Gongdong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zhejiang Gongdong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1923
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1849
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors11.2761
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zhejiang Gongdong Medical. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zhejiang Gongdong. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Gongdong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Gongdong Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.3518.6619.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5418.8520.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.1218.7219.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Gongdong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Gongdong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Gongdong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Gongdong Medical.

Other Forecasting Options for Zhejiang Gongdong

For every potential investor in Zhejiang, whether a beginner or expert, Zhejiang Gongdong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zhejiang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zhejiang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zhejiang Gongdong's price trends.

Zhejiang Gongdong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zhejiang Gongdong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zhejiang Gongdong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zhejiang Gongdong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zhejiang Gongdong Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zhejiang Gongdong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zhejiang Gongdong's current price.

Zhejiang Gongdong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zhejiang Gongdong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zhejiang Gongdong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zhejiang Gongdong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zhejiang Gongdong Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zhejiang Gongdong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zhejiang Gongdong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zhejiang Gongdong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zhejiang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Gongdong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Gongdong security.