BROADSTNET LEADL Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

62XA Stock   16.20  0.10  0.61%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 on the next trading day is expected to be 16.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.38. BROADSTNET Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BROADSTNET LEADL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
BROADSTNET LEADL simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 prices get older.

BROADSTNET LEADL Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 on the next trading day is expected to be 16.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BROADSTNET Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BROADSTNET LEADL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BROADSTNET LEADL Stock Forecast Pattern

BROADSTNET LEADL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BROADSTNET LEADL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BROADSTNET LEADL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.74 and 17.66, respectively. We have considered BROADSTNET LEADL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.20
16.20
Expected Value
17.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BROADSTNET LEADL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BROADSTNET LEADL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1098
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.01
MADMean absolute deviation0.1397
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0086
SAESum of the absolute errors8.38
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent BROADSTNET LEADL observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BROADSTNET LEADL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BROADSTNET LEADL 00025. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7416.2017.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2113.6717.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.6416.1116.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BROADSTNET LEADL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BROADSTNET LEADL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BROADSTNET LEADL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BROADSTNET LEADL 00025.

Other Forecasting Options for BROADSTNET LEADL

For every potential investor in BROADSTNET, whether a beginner or expert, BROADSTNET LEADL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BROADSTNET Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BROADSTNET. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BROADSTNET LEADL's price trends.

BROADSTNET LEADL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BROADSTNET LEADL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BROADSTNET LEADL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BROADSTNET LEADL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BROADSTNET LEADL's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BROADSTNET LEADL's current price.

BROADSTNET LEADL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BROADSTNET LEADL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BROADSTNET LEADL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BROADSTNET LEADL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BROADSTNET LEADL 00025 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BROADSTNET LEADL Risk Indicators

The analysis of BROADSTNET LEADL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BROADSTNET LEADL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting broadstnet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in BROADSTNET Stock

BROADSTNET LEADL financial ratios help investors to determine whether BROADSTNET Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BROADSTNET with respect to the benefits of owning BROADSTNET LEADL security.