Tencent Music Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 63T Stock | 6.75 0.05 0.74% |
Tencent Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Tencent Music's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of Tencent Music's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.38 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 |
Using Tencent Music hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tencent Music Entertainment from the perspective of Tencent Music response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Tencent Music Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 6.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94. Tencent Music after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tencent |
Tencent Music Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tencent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tencent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tencent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tencent Music Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Tencent Music Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 6.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tencent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tencent Music's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tencent Music Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tencent Music | Tencent Music Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tencent Music Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tencent Music's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tencent Music's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.36 and 9.24, respectively. We have considered Tencent Music's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tencent Music stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tencent Music stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 86.9469 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1292 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.9446 |
Predictive Modules for Tencent Music
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tencent Music Entert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tencent Music After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tencent Music at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tencent Music or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tencent Music, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tencent Music Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tencent Music's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tencent Music's historical news coverage. Tencent Music's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.32 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered Tencent Music's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tencent Music is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tencent Music Entert is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tencent Music Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tencent Music is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tencent Music backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tencent Music, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.44 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.75 | 6.76 | 0.15 |
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Tencent Music Hype Timeline
Tencent Music Entert is presently traded for 6.75on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.42. Tencent is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Tencent Music is about 151.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.33. The company reported the revenue of 28.4 B. Net Income was 6.64 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.93 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tencent Music to cross-verify your projections.Tencent Music Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tencent Music's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tencent Music's future price movements. Getting to know how Tencent Music's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tencent Music may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (3.30) | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.30 | (2.44) | 9.71 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (3.80) | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.05 | 3.49 | (2.57) | 7.76 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (1.80) | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (2.30) | 7.88 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (3.75) | 7 per month | 1.23 | 0.05 | 3.43 | (2.51) | 8.07 | |
| ABE0 | ALPHABET INC CDR | 1.40 | 2 per month | 2.50 | 0.06 | 5.16 | (3.70) | 19.14 | |
| FB2A | Meta Platforms | 3.50 | 10 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 3.15 | (2.81) | 13.41 | |
| FB2A | Meta Platforms | (9.00) | 6 per month | 1.58 | (0.04) | 4.12 | (3.03) | 11.00 | |
| NNND | Tencent Holdings | (0.35) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.59 | (2.54) | 12.12 | |
| NNN1 | Tencent Holdings Ltd | 1.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.13 | (2.94) | 10.94 | |
| 1YL | PROSUS NV ADR | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.88 | (3.76) | 10.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tencent Music
For every potential investor in Tencent, whether a beginner or expert, Tencent Music's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tencent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tencent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tencent Music's price trends.Tencent Music Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tencent Music stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tencent Music could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tencent Music by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tencent Music Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tencent Music stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tencent Music shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tencent Music stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tencent Music Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Tencent Music Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tencent Music's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tencent Music's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tencent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Variance | 6.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tencent Music
The number of cover stories for Tencent Music depends on current market conditions and Tencent Music's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tencent Music is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tencent Music's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tencent Music to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.