Caswell Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 6416 Stock | TWD 91.10 0.50 0.55% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caswell on the next trading day is expected to be 91.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.20. Caswell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Caswell's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Caswell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caswell from the perspective of Caswell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caswell on the next trading day is expected to be 91.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.20. Caswell after-hype prediction price | TWD 91.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caswell |
Caswell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caswell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caswell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caswell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caswell Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caswell on the next trading day is expected to be 91.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27, mean absolute percentage error of 2.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caswell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caswell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Caswell Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Caswell | Caswell Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Caswell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Caswell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caswell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.35 and 92.85, respectively. We have considered Caswell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caswell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caswell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5013 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2254 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2746 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.2 |
Predictive Modules for Caswell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caswell. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Caswell
For every potential investor in Caswell, whether a beginner or expert, Caswell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caswell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caswell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caswell's price trends.Caswell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caswell stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caswell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caswell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caswell Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Caswell's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Caswell's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caswell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caswell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caswell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caswell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Caswell entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Caswell Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caswell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caswell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caswell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for Caswell Stock Analysis
When running Caswell's price analysis, check to measure Caswell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caswell is operating at the current time. Most of Caswell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caswell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caswell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caswell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.